A warning about lines - I do not take them *too* seriously, even though I use them for ALL of my analysis. Lines often get broken and price gets 'there' however it wants to get there. At the same time, they help us with structure, which helps us with risk - the only thing we could control. Charts are just the behavioral representation of buyers and sellers. Sometimes they show consistent patterns that keep developing, and we successfully identify and execute, but most of the time they morph into larger patterns, and we have to adjust to that developing price action. That's one example of what it means to adapt in the markets.
Recent analysis on BTC:
Big picture analysis on BTC from 2 and a half years ago:
Notice... "Lines often get broken and price gets 'there' however it wants to get there" - the channel was not respected, but price still got there. However, you'll notice that the lower trend line was still respected (see how it tagged it 6 times as it traded higher). Patterns morph - do not let them fool you (I've been fooled countless times).
Momentum is still pointed higher.
11,100 is the next target if 10k is broken. Will update later.
Congrats longs. I used options for the first time on Deribit (July 31st 10k calls). Really nice experience!
The 5 Elliot wave to the upside is finishing. I think regardless of a bearish or bullish bias for the mid-term/long-term, a downward pressure is due soon.