MarcPMarkets

BTCUSD: Bearish Momentum Into Bullish Price Zone?

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
BTCUSD             update: New low made at 8342 which has taken price through the 9280 support and the 8659 reversal zone boundary as bearish momentum persists. Now that the market has made a decisive move, and compromised important levels, it is now reasonable to consider the possibilities of a range bound environment.

As I wrote in previous reports, in order to go long, the market must prove itself. Although it showed some temporary signals of strength, like hesitant price action, potential reversal bars, etc, the proof to go long never materialized. What matters most is how a candle closes and I pointed this out specifically in my previous report. And on this time frame, which carries a lot of weight, the closes have been bearish .

With that being said, the lower price goes, the more attractive it becomes to buy. Even though it went below the 8659 extreme support boundary, it is attempting to retrace. Also just below that is the 8174 to 4983 major support zone which is relative to the .618 of the entire bullish structure of this market. Even if price pushes into this zone, I will be looking to add to my long position.

Keep in mind, this market has now established a lower low relative to the 9208 low, but has plenty of support and room to reverse which makes this market more susceptible to gyrating within a broader range. Especially now that price is overlapping the Wave i territory. The other level to monitor is the 9616 trend resistance (.382 of recent bearish swing) which will continue to adjust lower until the market establishes a low. Once price closes above this level, often that is a confirmation that the next bullish leg is in progress, otherwise bearish momentum is in play.

In summary, do not over react and do not get sucked into the internet hype machine that looks to capitalize on out of comfort zone moves like this. Instead, put it into perspective and recognize what is ahead, and what needs to happen in order for an attractive buying opportunity to materialize. Buying fundamentally strong markets during times of weakness is a best practice, but you do not just buy because the market is pushing a low. You wait for a reversal at a high probability level. Price is hovering at such a level, and has an even more attractive area just below. Let the market prove itself, or stay out of its way. I do not short these markets, but if I could, I certainly would NOT be looking to get short now, especially near the reversal zone boundary. I am still holding my position trade long, and waiting patiently to add as more attractive prices become available.

Questions and comments welcome.
Marc Principato, CMT |Author: Analyze Any Financial Market Like The Pros Using Price Action| http://www.Priceactiontraders.net | Cofounder http://www.seekingcryptos.com (S.C.)





Questions, questions!
Answers: Bitcoin trade points for day traders looking to trade this weekend
Reply
I think we should wait to see what is coming. IMHO the fall is not over yet, it just took a pause...
+2 Reply
BTC is not "fundamentally strong" at all. It's got the worst fundamentals of any Crypto in the world. It's hash power is controlled by two billionaires out in China. The developers can't reach consensus on anything or make any meaningful forward progress. You know why? Because they're volunteers! They don't get paid! Why would they put out a product as good as a paid team of developers ?

And they know the whole system is corrupted anyway. It's rediculous that people still don't know or understand how BTC works or what's going on below the surface.
+5 Reply
H4m3d VanBenno
LOL we see how the capitalistic approch has done so well for life and the planet so please keep telling us how awsome it is
+2 Reply
You have a price zone from 8100 - 4900?! A difference of 3K!! WOW! Anyone can throw those kind of numbers out... hum "And below that is 4982 - 1979" I suppose is what you would say next?!?

+3 Reply
@dustyPH, its two different price areas, stupid
Reply
dustyPH renanbarros
@renanbarros, wow, nice one... and I quote, "Also just below that is the 8174 to 4983 major support zone which is relative to the .618 of the entire bullish structure of this market."

Hum, Like I said, anyone can call out those kind of numbers.
+1 Reply
Goldbug just posted a very interesting comparison to GOLD
+1 Reply
Even though it went below the 8659 extreme support boundary....?
No it didn't - with respect you just have the wrong trend lines...
+1 Reply
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