BitCoin Showdown - Bearflag or Triangle

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar
My Hypothesis:
If no major event happens in the next 4 days, it will be crucial if the bitcoin will breakthrough the $16k level. If she does, a bearflag is probable, which means short term up, but mid to long term down to 8k (in a panic scenario)
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