Nathan_Black

CCL: Buy, sell, hold or wait? A Triple Time Frame Analysis.

NYSE:CCL   Carnival Corporation
Hello traders and investors! For the first time, I’ll do a public analysis on CCL. This stock is starting to get very popular (the 8th most active stock in the US today), so, let’s talk about it, and do a complete Multi Time Frame Analysis (MTFA) by looking the hourly, daily and weekly charts, and in the end, we’ll see if CCL is a buy or not.

First, in the 1h chart we have a breakout from the previous resistance level at $ 28.19 (green line), and the trend is still clearly bullish. At any moment CCL did lower lows, although it did a quick congestion last week, with no new highs.

Maybe we had something like a Cup and Handle, and if that’s the case, more upside will come.

But now, the 21 ema is pointing back up, and it is defeating the previous resistance. Now, let’s see the daily chart:


The volume increased a lot during the last bullish leg, which is a true sign of buy force. We could see a pullback to the 21 ema or to the green line at $ 24.38 and this wouldn’t ruin the bull trend, and only then we could see an opportunity to buy.

What’s more, CCL did an Inverted Head and Shoulders chart pattern, which is interesting to notice. Now, let’s see the weekly chart:


The trend is very strong here, and the $ 25.01 could work as a support level in the weekly chart. If you are looking for swing or position trade, this is the point where you should buy.

But now it feels like it is a little late to buy. For instance, I gave a call to the members of our community in my weekly newsletter a buy call when it did the “Gift” pattern seen in the chart. That was a good point to buy. Now it is going up almost 40% since then, so keep in mind that if you want to buy it, you may buy from those who want to book their profits and re-buy near a support level.

Now it is not the time to buy, neither to short, but to manage positions, and if you are out, just wait for a better opportunity and never buy near top levels. So far, there is no sell signal in CCL, so if you are in, you may just hold it.

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Be careful and take care.

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