It's no surprise that the oil
market is as volatile as ever, following the ongoing trade war saga between the US and China. Yesterday, OPEC has released their report on future outlook of the market demand for the rest of 2019, which is BEARISH
. They are helpless as demands are dropping, and the US shale supplier keep on continuing to pressure the price with flooding of supplies. On the other hand, the election of US is on the year 2020, which means that Trump would want to keep the prices low to keep his key voters happy, primarily the oil
consumer. As long as the price of WTI is above 30$, the shale oil
provider are still in the profitable range. We have seen the 22$ price during early 2016, Trump won the election and the price rally until peak multi year high of 78$. Which means, the current wave is expected to complete at the range of 20-30$, thus making way for the epic rally to 116$ !
Link to the OPEC report