Mr_J__fx

$CNIRYY - Deflationary CPI

Mr_J__fx Updated   
ECONOMICS:CNIRYY   China Inflation Rate YoY
- While USIRYY numbers remain inflationary,
having the latest increase to 3.2% on August 10th,
on the other side of the World from the second Global Superpower,
CNIRYY came Deflationary at negative 0.3% on 9'th of August,
just a day prior to numbers of USIRYY .

Note that The Head of Federal Reserve,
our pal Jerome Powell,
stated that Feds do not see Inflation USIRYY coming down to their norm target of 2% CPI
by 2025.
Jerome still believes on a 'Soft Landing'..

How about another Joke, Powell !?


Comment:

China's CPI remained unchanged in September 2023 from a year earlier, following a 0.1% rise in the previous month and falling short of the market consensus for a 0.2% gain. The latest data indicated persistent deflationary pressures in the world's second-largest economy, raising concerns about the sustainability of the economic recovery due to sluggish demand. Food prices dropped by 3.2% (vs -1.7% in August), driven by a steeper decline in pork prices (-22% vs -17.9%). Meanwhile, non-food inflation accelerated to 0.7% (vs 0.5% in August), driven by price increases in clothing (1.1%, the same as in August), housing (0.2% vs 0.1%), health (1.3% vs 1.2%), and education (2.5%, the same as in August). At the same time, prices for transport fell at a slower rate (-1.3% vs -2.1%). The annual core inflation rate, which excludes food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 0.8% in September. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 0.2% in September, compared to the consensus of 0.3%.

source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
Comment:
CNIRYY

Monthly, the CNIRYY CPI unexpectedly fell by 0.2%,
compared with the consensus of a flat figure and after a 0.2% rise in September.
China's consumer prices dropped by 0.2% YoY in October 2023,
compared with a flat reading in the prior month and forecasts of a 0.1% fall.
Core consumer prices, which exclude prices of food and energy, increased by 0.6% yoy in October, the least in 4 months
Comment:
CNIRYY November's 2023 CPI


China's Consumer Prices fell by 0.5% YoY in November 2023,
steeper than a 0.2% drop in the prior month and compared with market forecasts of a 0.1% fall.
It was the fastest decline in the CPI since November 2020,
as the cost of food decreased at the strongest pace in over two years (-4.2% vs -4.0% in October)
Meantime,
non-food inflation notably slowed (0.4% vs 0.7%),
due to moderation in the cost of education (1.8% vs 2.3%) and a quicker drop in transport prices (-2.4% vs -0.9%).
Simultaneously, inflation was unchanged for both housing (at 0.3%) and health (at 1.3%) while accelerating for clothing (1.3% vs 1.1%).
Core consumer prices, which exclude prices of food and energy, increased by 0.6% yoy in November, the same as in October.
Monthly, the CPI also dropped by 0.5%, compared with consensus and October's figure of a 0.1% decrease.

source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
Comment:
CNIRYY (December 2023 data)
China's consumer prices fell by 0.3% YoY in December 2023,
marking the third straight month of decline which was the longest streak of drop since October 2009.
Figures came less than market forecasts of a 0.4% fall while moderating from the steepest decrease in 3 years of 0.5% for November, with food prices declining the least since September (-3.7% vs -4.2% in November) as pork prices fell at a softer rate.
Meanwhile, non-food inflation edged higher (0.5% vs 0.4%), as cost continued to rise for clothing (1.4% vs 1.3%), housing (0.3% vs 0.3%), health (1.4% vs 1.3%), and education (1.8% vs 1.8%); while a decline transport prices eased slightly (-2.2% vs -2.4%).
Core consumer price, which exclude prices of food and energy, increased by 0.6% yoy in December, the same as in the previous two months.
For the full year, consumer prices rose by 0.2%. Monthly, the CPI inched up by 0.1%, pointing to the first rise in three months but falling below the consensus of a 0.2% rise.

source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
Comment:
CNIRYY (January 2024)
China's consumer prices fell by 0.8% yoy in January 2024,
the most in more than 14 years and worse than market forecasts of a 0.5% fall. It was the fourth straight month of decline in CPI, the longest streak of drop since October 2009.
Food prices declined at a record pace (-5.9% vs -3.7% in December).
Meanwhile,
non-food inflation was down to 0.4% (vs 0.5%), as a decline in transport prices quickened (-2.4% vs -2.2%) while cost continued to rise for clothing (1.6% vs 1.4%), housing (0.3% vs 0.3%), health (1.3% vs 1.4%) and education (1.3% vs 1.8%). Core consumer prices, which exclude prices of food and energy, increased by 0.4% yoy in January, the softest rise since last June, after a 0.6% gain in the prior three months.
Monthly, the CPI rose by 0.3%, indicating the second straight month of increase and hitting its highest level since last August. In 2023, consumer prices rose by 0.2%.

source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
Comment:
CNIRYY

China's consumer prices rose by 0.7% yoy in February 2024, above market forecasts of 0.3% and a turnaround from the sharpest drop in over 14 years of 0.8% in January.
The latest result was the first consumer inflation since last August, hitting its highest level in 11 months due to robust spending during the Lunar New Year holiday.
Food prices declined the least in eight months (-0.9% vs -5.9% in January), reflecting upturns in costs of pork and fresh vegetables.
Meantime, non-food inflation sharply accelerated to 1.1% from the prior 0.4%, with prices rising further for clothing (1.6% vs 1.6%), housing (0.2% vs 0.3%), health (1.5% vs 1.3%), and education (3.9% vs 1.3%); while a fall in transport prices strongly moderated (-0.4% vs -2.4%).
The core CPI, deducting food and energy prices, increased by 1.2% yoy in February, the most since January 2022.
Monthly, consumer prices increased 1.0%, marking the third straight month of rise and hitting its highest level since January 2021.

source: National Bureau of Statistics of China
Comment:
CNIRYY

Worth looking video regarding CNIRYY Deflation status compared to
Japan's JPIRYY Deflationary era from 3 decades ago.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=azW8vygS...
Comment:
CNIRYY (March/2024)

China's consumer prices edged up 0.1% yoy in March 2024, compared with market forecasts of 0.4% and after a 0.7% rise in the previous month.
The notable slowdown came as the effects of the Lunar New Year waned, with non-food inflation easing (0.7% vs 1.1% in February) as the cost of education moderated sharply (1.8% vs 3.9%) while transport prices fell further (-1.3% vs -0.4%). Simultaneously, inflation was unchanged for clothing (at 1.6%), housing (at 0.2%), and health (at 1.5%).
On the food side, prices fell much steeper (-2.7% vs -0.9%), as costs of pork and fresh vegetables turned lower following rises in February.
The core consumer prices, deducting food and energy prices, increased by 0.6% yoy in March, slowing from the prior 1.2% which was the fastest rise since January 2022.
Monthly, the CPI decreased 1.0%, the first fall in four months and a reversal from a 1.0% rise in February. It came worse than estimates of a 0.5% drop, pointing to the steepest monthly fall in 3 years.

source: National Bureau of Statistics of China

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.