NAK1987

DVN Long - Oil sector recently entered a stage two advance

Long
NAK1987 Updated   
NYSE:DVN   Devon Energy Corporation
I can see that the vast majority of market sectors have been in a continued bullish advance for quite some time but the oil industry has lagged. However, around mid November 2020, the sector finally broke up out of a range and above the 200 day moving average. Now many names are up trending quite well, especially in the "oil and gas E&P" sub sector of the oil industry.

I compared the names in that sub sector that had entered a stage to advance and possessed market caps over 2 billion, then narrowed down my selection to 2 names, DVN and XEC . Initially I came down to these two because I liked their charts but also, they stood out for their lower debt/equity compared to their peers . Following this, I compared their charts and volumes in addition to the following metrics :

1) Quick ratio's
2)Debt over equity
3) EPS (This year and next )
4)Gross Margins
5)Institutional ownership %'s
6)Forward P/E
7)Price to book

The names both scored well but I think DVN is the winner and the main things that stood out were :

Much better quick ratio ( DVN's 2.3 compared to XEC's 0.9)
EPS forecast shows way more growth this year is expected ( DVN eps this year expected to be 2088% higher compared to XEC's 355%)
DVN offers a slightly better price to book .
DVN has significantly more liquidity.


Having said that , both names are expected to report a positive eps for their upcoming quarterly reports which has not happened for several quarters and I think they will both do well. I think that they both have much more upside potential as does the oil sector in general, which is pretty fresh into its advancing stage .

I have included the chart for the oil refiners etf , "CRAK" , on the chart which as you can see has also moved from a stage one to a stage two advance . USO shows the same pattern too .

Good luck ~
Comment:
Entered a position in this today at 23.07 with a stop set at 20.86

艾力克~
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.