Augustus_Flavius_IV

DXY gonna hav a crayZ move when the FOMC meeting happens

TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
The fib time zone that I have drawn on the DXY chart tells that there is going to be a strong move but as anybody who has used fib time zones knows, it doesn't say in what direction. The bond market has (according to traders better than me) priced in so a 75bps hike, so that is certainly on the cards (I don't think that that will happen tbh but I'm pulling that out arse its just a hunch I guess) however we will have to see what happens in just under 14hrs when the Producer Price Index is published which should tell us a what the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index will tell us. The FED on their own website say "The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) judges that an annual increase in inflation of 2 percent in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE), produced by the Department of Commerce, is most consistent over the longer run with the Federal Reserve’s mandate for maximum employment and price stability. The FOMC uses the PCE price index largely because it covers a wide range of household spending." so if tomorrow the PPI is low I will definitely consider longing BTC. My only hesitation however is since this move down has been so strong just a limp ass support wont cut it and we need to go back to 20k from the previous market high to trigger a real reversal and for the SPX/NDQ the same is true and that support would be the high before the Corona market crash in late February 2020 (the opinion of a better trader than myself also). We will see

Comment:
So I couldn't have been more right lol but I was wrong about 50bp hike but looking back that was just wishful thinking and my own bias seeping in to my analysis
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