Sealic

It's All About The Dollar Story

Short
INDEX:DXY   US DOLLAR CURRENCY INDEX
The chart you see above is the Dollar monthly chart showing the last 40 years..... As you can see, the last 3 times we got a cross of the Orange 21EMA & Blue 50EMA, we saw a drop in the dollar for 5 years, followed by another 5 years of sideways action for a total of 3650+ days. You'll also notice we have plenty of room to push further down on the RSI , MACD , and momentum indicators. I personally think history will repeat, this last dollar pushes up is temporary IMO and will continue to plunge throughout 2021 and beyond.

I've seen many say they believe the dollar will die of strength rather than weakness, but I personally do not agree with that sentiment. I've posted about the dollar a few times in the past and I've continued to hold my bearish outlook on the dollar for several years now. From a fundamental perspective, the dollar will continue to weaken as long as the FED continues to print us into oblivion. Even if we stop, we'll likely only see temporary strength IMO. Overall, the strength we've seen in Stocks, Gold , Silver , Bitcoin , and the crypto markets shows the weakness of the Dollar, and I believe this will continue throughout 2021. It's possible we see a bounce, but unless we see a large push back above the moving averages toward the 95 level we should expect further weakness from the dollar.

Remember, be patient, stay level-headed, non-biased, and ahead of the crowd.



You can click the charts below to see my previous 2 Dollar charts from last year.



Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.