Bastianelton

USD Index DXY - Potential MMBM

Long
Bastianelton Updated   
TVC:DXY   U.S. Dollar Index
Monthly Timeframe: (check the linked image)

- The market traded aggressively away from a Bullish Orderblock.
- Last Month, DXY created a Bullish 3- Bar Fractal (swing low) which lead to an explosively bullish move. We can easily see the next monthly candle being bullish as well.
- We have now disrespected a very strong Bearish PD Array: A Bearish Breaker. It showed no willingness of respecting it, which means that buyers are in control.
- 3 months ago, we traded through a bearish candle. This bearish candle works as its own structural Orderblock, and we shouldn't see price drop below this level (like the two green boxes below). If it does- we might see a reversal lower.


Daily Timeframe:

- We have a potential ICT Market Maker Buy Model playing out.
- We are in a massive uptrend, and we can easily see a continuation of it.
- We are getting closer to the Weekly FVG's High.
- At 101.000 (institutional number), we have very clean Equal Highs. Price can easily draw up to this level, as a massive liquidity pool resides here. Expecting a manipulation through this level, potentially up to the Volume Imbalance.
- At 101.640, we also have a daily Volume Imbalance Vaccum Block. This is a huge gap in price which likes to get traded to, and filled. Sometimes you'll see a reversal at this level as well.





Caution:

- This is just my view on the USD. Price may not play out as expected. This can especially be due to the current war situation in Ukraine. Price can create Black Swan events and massive volatility that can ruin the setup on a Daily TF.
- From 97.720 to 98.000 we have a volume imbalance below current price. DXY can easily retrace lower to fill this level. If this happens- it can respect this volume imbalance and go higher from there, or create a lower retracement.
Trade closed: target reached:
Target Reached !!

Congrats if you also capitalized :)
Comment:
As this target got smashed, I just posted a New analysis now on where I think DXY will go next! Check it out.

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