#ES Futures Bottom is in Or Heading Lower?
Lets break down what we can see in Globex and in tomorrows session. Did we find temporary support, built a position under 3715-10 that we now have all the supply to run the upper stops, fill the Gap at 3723 area and fill push higher to sell our product there? Or did we find temporary support using all the people who piled in Short Thursday/Friday morning and after everyone covers here we wont have anymore buyers to take us higher and come down to test the lows again?
I was thinking long Friday at after we tested the Previous Day low and came back in, sign of strength for me and right away told me we will most likely stay inside Thursdays RTH range, Last night Globex held the Key Support at 3671.75-3665.75 and we saw this morning it ran up over our Key Resistance of 3714.75-3709.75 but I started breaking down the MGI a bit more and now im not so sure this will be the agenda tomorrow, I am thinking that what gave us support this time around is everyone who shorted the top of FOMC day and the chasers who piled in short Thursday morning after they saw the big move down Over Night and of course people looking for continuation Friday morning, because of the Holiday we are counting Last night Globex, this morning session and tonight's Globex as one session which tells me that if we spend time over this Key Resistance which also happens to be our Previous day (Friday) High and our RTH T+2 high area but fail to extend and take out/hold the gap area and our level of 3728.75-3725.25 either Tonight or at RTH open and come back under this Key Resistance then that was just a stop run to sell inventory and can give us a test of Key Support at 3671.75-3665.75 and T+2 Low/Friday Low with possible continuation down to 3619.50-3613.25 and depending on order flow there possible lower to 3600 - 3590 maybe 85-75 area.
On the opposite of course is if we hold this support and fail to get back in and accept in T+2 range under 3710-3700 in Globex or tomorrow RTH then we can see a squeeze to fill the gap in RTH and test higher levels, leaning a bit more to the downside personally but I will be watching for those two scenarios to play out.
** Key Areas to Watch: 3728.75-3725.25 // 3714.75-3709.75 // 3698.50-3695.50
I was thinking long Friday at after we tested the Previous Day low and came back in, sign of strength for me and right away told me we will most likely stay inside Thursdays RTH range, Last night Globex held the Key Support at 3671.75-3665.75 and we saw this morning it ran up over our Key Resistance of 3714.75-3709.75 but I started breaking down the MGI a bit more and now im not so sure this will be the agenda tomorrow, I am thinking that what gave us support this time around is everyone who shorted the top of FOMC day and the chasers who piled in short Thursday morning after they saw the big move down Over Night and of course people looking for continuation Friday morning, because of the Holiday we are counting Last night Globex, this morning session and tonight's Globex as one session which tells me that if we spend time over this Key Resistance which also happens to be our Previous day (Friday) High and our RTH T+2 high area but fail to extend and take out/hold the gap area and our level of 3728.75-3725.25 either Tonight or at RTH open and come back under this Key Resistance then that was just a stop run to sell inventory and can give us a test of Key Support at 3671.75-3665.75 and T+2 Low/Friday Low with possible continuation down to 3619.50-3613.25 and depending on order flow there possible lower to 3600 - 3590 maybe 85-75 area.
On the opposite of course is if we hold this support and fail to get back in and accept in T+2 range under 3710-3700 in Globex or tomorrow RTH then we can see a squeeze to fill the gap in RTH and test higher levels, leaning a bit more to the downside personally but I will be watching for those two scenarios to play out.
** Key Areas to Watch: 3728.75-3725.25 // 3714.75-3709.75 // 3698.50-3695.50