ETHUSD daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 35% ETH, 65% Cash.
*Risk-On markets continue to get shellacked by a combination of: expectations of rising central bank interest rates through the first half of 2023 (and perhaps beyond) and continued supply chain disruptions due to more sanctions on Russia (which influences BRICS and OPEC+) and a massive reduction in US/China trade that is currently underway. Turkey has begun to ask for proof of insurance from Russian oil tankers now that Western insurers have been stepping away, this has reportedly caused a bit of a backlog in the Bosphorus Straits. Any earnings reports are essentially a non-factor considering that many of the forecasts point to decreases in top and bottom lines across many of the heaviest weighted industry sectors for Q4 and 2023.
Putin said today that the risks of nuclear war are growing as needs for Russia to potentially use them as a "deterrent" are also growing. I really hope that this guy is taken out from inside, anybody who makes these kinds of threats that could potentially wipe out a majority (if not all) of their own people in response does not deserve to be a country's leader. Russian people should be just as scared as Ukrainians if this is the route Putin decides to take.
VIX, EURUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD, CNYUSD, Metals, Natural Gas, DJI Futures and Agriculture (mixed). DXY, US Equities, US Equity Futures (mixed), US Treasurys, Cryptos, NI225, N100 and HSI are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November PPI 830am EST 12/09; US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23.*
Price is currently trending down at $1232 and risks losing $1270 minor support if it closes below $1230 in today's session. Volume is currently Moderate (low) and on track to favor sellers if it closes today's session in the red, it has been alternating between buyer and seller dominance in the second largest supply/demand zone over the past week. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $1085, this margin is mildly bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 47 and fell back into the Symmetrical Triangle (ST) from February 2020 in today's session, the next support is the lower trendline of the aforementioned ST at ~39. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 68, the next support is at 62. MACD remains bullish and is currently forming a soft peak as it begins to trend down at -11, it would have to fall below -24 to crossover bearish at the moment. ADX is currently trending down at 28 and is beginning to form a soft trough as Price continues to see selling pressure, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here and trade back above $1270 minor support then it will likely aim to retest the 50MA at $1329 as resistance (which should coincide with the upper trendline of the descending channel from November 2021. However, if Price continues to fall here, it will likely retest the local low of $1100 as support before potentially retesting $1000 minor support for the first time since July 2022. Mental Stop Loss: (one close above) $1270.
*Risk-On markets continue to get shellacked by a combination of: expectations of rising central bank interest rates through the first half of 2023 (and perhaps beyond) and continued supply chain disruptions due to more sanctions on Russia (which influences BRICS and OPEC+) and a massive reduction in US/China trade that is currently underway. Turkey has begun to ask for proof of insurance from Russian oil tankers now that Western insurers have been stepping away, this has reportedly caused a bit of a backlog in the Bosphorus Straits. Any earnings reports are essentially a non-factor considering that many of the forecasts point to decreases in top and bottom lines across many of the heaviest weighted industry sectors for Q4 and 2023.
Putin said today that the risks of nuclear war are growing as needs for Russia to potentially use them as a "deterrent" are also growing. I really hope that this guy is taken out from inside, anybody who makes these kinds of threats that could potentially wipe out a majority (if not all) of their own people in response does not deserve to be a country's leader. Russian people should be just as scared as Ukrainians if this is the route Putin decides to take.
VIX, EURUSD, GBPUSD, JPYUSD, CNYUSD, Metals, Natural Gas, DJI Futures and Agriculture (mixed). DXY, US Equities, US Equity Futures (mixed), US Treasurys, Cryptos, NI225, N100 and HSI are down.
Key Upcoming Dates: US November PPI 830am EST 12/09; US November CPI 830am EST 12/13; Last FOMC Rate Hike Announcement of 2022 at 2pm EST 12/14; US November New Residential Construction at 830am EST 12/20; US Final Q3 GDP Estimate at 830am EST 12/22; US November PCE Index at 830am EST 12/23; UofM Consumer Sentiment Index at 10am EST 12/23.*
Price is currently trending down at $1232 and risks losing $1270 minor support if it closes below $1230 in today's session. Volume is currently Moderate (low) and on track to favor sellers if it closes today's session in the red, it has been alternating between buyer and seller dominance in the second largest supply/demand zone over the past week. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $1085, this margin is mildly bearish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 47 and fell back into the Symmetrical Triangle (ST) from February 2020 in today's session, the next support is the lower trendline of the aforementioned ST at ~39. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently trending down at 68, the next support is at 62. MACD remains bullish and is currently forming a soft peak as it begins to trend down at -11, it would have to fall below -24 to crossover bearish at the moment. ADX is currently trending down at 28 and is beginning to form a soft trough as Price continues to see selling pressure, this is mildly bearish at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here and trade back above $1270 minor support then it will likely aim to retest the 50MA at $1329 as resistance (which should coincide with the upper trendline of the descending channel from November 2021. However, if Price continues to fall here, it will likely retest the local low of $1100 as support before potentially retesting $1000 minor support for the first time since July 2022. Mental Stop Loss: (one close above) $1270.