ETHUSD Daily cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 30% ETH, 70% Cash.
*Cryptos saw a bearish weekend after Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks in Jackson Hole on Friday renewed fears of a Fed induced recession and drove investors to US Treasuries and DXY. Depending on August's Employment Situation and CPI, a 75bps rate hike is very much so still on the table come 09/21. At the moment, it seems very likely that FFR will finish 2022 above 4% and remain that way for most of 2023. Equity Futures are down to start the week as DXY continues its rally higher toward $112 minor resistance (it is currently at $109.27). The Merge is still scheduled for launch on Ethereum's Mainnet 09/15/22. Key Upcoming Dates: August Consumer Confidence Index at 10am EST 08/30; 9th GDPNow US Q3 GDP estimate at 10am EST 09/01; August Employment Situation 830am EST 09/02.*
Price is currently testing $1427 support after breaking below the 50 MA (~$1585). Volume remains Moderate (High) and has favored sellers in the last three sessions; it's also on track to shrink for a fourth consecutive session and favor buyers if it can close today's session in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $1813, this margin is mildly bullish. RSI is currently testing the descending trendline from 07/17/22 as resistance at 37 resistance, this is after bouncing off of 35. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently testing max bottom as it will look to crossover bullish in the coming sessions. MACD remains bearish and is currently testing -46.46 minor support without signs of trough formation. ADX is currently trending sideways at 24 as Price is testing $1427 support, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here at $1427 support then it will likely retest the 50 MA at ~$1625 as resistance (which is also the largest supply/demand zone on the chart in 2022). However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely test $1200 as support before potentially retesting $1k psychological support. Mental Stop Loss: (two more consecutive closes above) $1427.
*Cryptos saw a bearish weekend after Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks in Jackson Hole on Friday renewed fears of a Fed induced recession and drove investors to US Treasuries and DXY. Depending on August's Employment Situation and CPI, a 75bps rate hike is very much so still on the table come 09/21. At the moment, it seems very likely that FFR will finish 2022 above 4% and remain that way for most of 2023. Equity Futures are down to start the week as DXY continues its rally higher toward $112 minor resistance (it is currently at $109.27). The Merge is still scheduled for launch on Ethereum's Mainnet 09/15/22. Key Upcoming Dates: August Consumer Confidence Index at 10am EST 08/30; 9th GDPNow US Q3 GDP estimate at 10am EST 09/01; August Employment Situation 830am EST 09/02.*
Price is currently testing $1427 support after breaking below the 50 MA (~$1585). Volume remains Moderate (High) and has favored sellers in the last three sessions; it's also on track to shrink for a fourth consecutive session and favor buyers if it can close today's session in the green. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $1813, this margin is mildly bullish. RSI is currently testing the descending trendline from 07/17/22 as resistance at 37 resistance, this is after bouncing off of 35. Stochastic remains bearish and is currently testing max bottom as it will look to crossover bullish in the coming sessions. MACD remains bearish and is currently testing -46.46 minor support without signs of trough formation. ADX is currently trending sideways at 24 as Price is testing $1427 support, this is neutral at the moment.
If Price is able to bounce here at $1427 support then it will likely retest the 50 MA at ~$1625 as resistance (which is also the largest supply/demand zone on the chart in 2022). However, if Price continues to break down here, it will likely test $1200 as support before potentially retesting $1k psychological support. Mental Stop Loss: (two more consecutive closes above) $1427.