ETHUSD Daily guidance is cautiously bearish. Recommended ratio: 20% ETH, 80% Cash.
*The Fed announced a 75bps FFR hike today, and so starting tomorrow the FFR target range will be 3%-3.25%. Cryptos initially rallied on the announcement and are now down while Stocks continued to plummet. Equity Futures and EURUSD are down while VIX and DXY are up; Commodities and US Treasuries remain mixed. Interestingly, looking at the Fed dot plot, twelve of nineteen Fed Presidents and Governors think that FFR should be between 4.5% and 5% at some point in 2023. Meanwhile, today Putin announced a 'partial mobilization' of 300k Russian military reservists in an escalation of Russia's attack on Ukraine. Key Upcoming Dates: S&P US September Manufacturing PMI at 945am EST 09/23; September Consumer Confidence Index at 10am EST 09/27; August US New-Home Sales at 10am EST 09/27; Final US Q2 GDP revision at 830am EST 09/29; August PCE price index at 830am EST 09/30.*
Price is currently trending down at ~$1250 as it breaks away from any hope of hanging on to $1427 support. Volume is High (moderate) and on track to favor sellers for a second consecutive session. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $1620, this margin is bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 33 as it quickly approaches a retest of the uptrend line from 01/22/22 at ~31 as support. Stochastic is currently neutral trending sideways at 5 for the fourth consecutive session, the next support is max bottom. MACD remains bearish at -79 as it approaches a test of -46 support for the first time since May 2022. ADX is currently trending up at 24 with no signs of peak formation as Price continues to fall, this is bearish.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest $1427 resistance. However, if Price continues to fall here then it will likely retest $1k psychological support before potentially testing $776 support for the first time since January 2021. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $1427.
*The Fed announced a 75bps FFR hike today, and so starting tomorrow the FFR target range will be 3%-3.25%. Cryptos initially rallied on the announcement and are now down while Stocks continued to plummet. Equity Futures and EURUSD are down while VIX and DXY are up; Commodities and US Treasuries remain mixed. Interestingly, looking at the Fed dot plot, twelve of nineteen Fed Presidents and Governors think that FFR should be between 4.5% and 5% at some point in 2023. Meanwhile, today Putin announced a 'partial mobilization' of 300k Russian military reservists in an escalation of Russia's attack on Ukraine. Key Upcoming Dates: S&P US September Manufacturing PMI at 945am EST 09/23; September Consumer Confidence Index at 10am EST 09/27; August US New-Home Sales at 10am EST 09/27; Final US Q2 GDP revision at 830am EST 09/29; August PCE price index at 830am EST 09/30.*
Price is currently trending down at ~$1250 as it breaks away from any hope of hanging on to $1427 support. Volume is High (moderate) and on track to favor sellers for a second consecutive session. Parabolic SAR flips bullish at $1620, this margin is bullish at the moment. RSI is currently trending down at 33 as it quickly approaches a retest of the uptrend line from 01/22/22 at ~31 as support. Stochastic is currently neutral trending sideways at 5 for the fourth consecutive session, the next support is max bottom. MACD remains bearish at -79 as it approaches a test of -46 support for the first time since May 2022. ADX is currently trending up at 24 with no signs of peak formation as Price continues to fall, this is bearish.
If Price is able to bounce here then it will likely retest $1427 resistance. However, if Price continues to fall here then it will likely retest $1k psychological support before potentially testing $776 support for the first time since January 2021. Mental Stop Loss: (two consecutive closes above) $1427.