Since 2009 EURUSD was trapped in a triangle. After wave e came to an end we saw another fast drop in price.
This rally should find an end at or near 1.02622 because waves A and C tend to be equal in a correction (see Elliott Wave Theory) and its near the fibonacci level of 0.764.
I dont think interest rates will be raised immediately. The market is waiting for the omission of the word 'patience' and the $ will be off to the races upwards. If there is an inclusion of the word we could have a massive retracement in the $index.
if you have in mind ECB decision and direct interest in exchange rate and weak EUR - I do not see this working. maybe some retrace till the fresh printed money comes in and you will get another sell off. this is a penguin - it is a bird, but wont fly.
I hear you NW. However I have seen many instances where technicals trumped nightmarish fundamentals many times. Many times a new fundamental comes in to take out the old one and the merry go round continues. However as I alluded to in my earlier post it is not clear that the low in the eurusd is in and until then it is bearish. Thanks for your post. Very enlightening to me
I agree with your idea of a 5 wave massive rise in the euro. However I dont think you can just put a blanket number out. Yes there is a EW tendency for equality but it is just a tendency, a guide and not a fixed rule. A turn up can happen before or after that number. But I agree we should be getting ready to board the 'long' bus
I'm pretty sure everybody who is playing this 'game' long enough knows that there are no fixed rules. Because of that I've written that they tend to be equal ;-)
Who knows who knows .. let the market decide!