Amr-Sadek

EURUSD 19-23 Feb 2024 W8 Weekly Analysis - EU CPI/PMI Week

FOREXCOM:EURUSD   Euro / U.S. Dollar
This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 19-23 Feb 2024 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:

  1. Weekly
  2. Daily
  3. 4H
  4. Economic Events


Weekly Chart Analysis


1.
  • Swing Bearish
  • Internal Bearish
  • Reached Swing EQ
  • (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)

2.

  • After the Bearish iBOS we expected pullback, price tapped into Liq on the lift and a Weekly demand zone which provided a pullback and formed a bullish CHoCH confirming INT Low.
  • Price reached the INT Extreme and tapped the Weekly Supply Zone and as expected we are targeting at least the CHoCH and then the Weak INT Low.
  • Price did the Bearish ChoCH and formed a fresh Supply zone which will be potential for shorts once reached to continue the Bearish INT structure and Swing too.

3.

  • With the Bearish INT Structure we have the confirmation that the Swing Pullback is over and we are currently in the Swing Continuation Phase.
  • Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and showed reaction from which resulted in a Bearish CHoCH.
  • Expectation now set to see price continuing bearish.


Daily Chart Analysis


1.

  • Swing Bearish
  • INT Bearish
  • Swing Continuation / INT Pullback

2.

  • Within the Bearish Swing we are currently in the Swing pullback reached the Swing extreme area and mitigated a Weekly Supply zone (But didn't reach the Daily Supply) and started the INT Structure Pullback after the Bullish iBOS.
  • For the Bearish Swing to continue bearish, we want to see a Bearish iBOS to confirm that the Swing Pullback is over and we are in the Swing Continuation to target the Weak Swing Low.
  • Price confirmed a Bearish iBOS and this signals the Swing continuation phase.

3.

  • After the iBOS we expect a Pullback.
  • Price is currently within the Daily demand on the left which is partially mitigated and approaching a Weekly Demand Zone which could provide reaction to facilitate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback.
  • Bullish CHoCH will confirm INT Low and INT Structure Pullback maybe starting.

4.

  • Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.


4H Chart Analysis


1.
  • Swing Bearish
  • INT Bearish
  • INT Pullback Phase

2.

  • After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
  • As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
  • Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
  • Also be mindful that there is also a pullback required for the 4H Swing so there is a HP if price going to stay bullish we will take the Strong INT High.
  • Bullish iBOS will signal a Swing Pullback.


Economic Events for the Week


Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.