Fundamentally;
There has been a lot of economic news lately that affected the euro currency pretty bad, the euro has fallen below a value of 1$ since 2002, and the fear of losing Russian oil on a global market that the Ukrainian war may cause has pushed oil prices higher and as we all know Europe is far more dependent on Russian oil and natural gas so now we have more demand less supply high inflation lower GDP which is bad for the economy, Europe is facing a market recession soon, Russia has been cutting back natural gas supplies to EU union lately which led gas prices to go higher and the energy prices have driven Europe inflation to a record of 8.9% making everything from groceries to utility bills more expensive and let’s not forget the US Feds raising the interest rates more than the ECB which means higher interest returns that’s attracting investor money from euro into dollars
Technically;
the monthly trend is completely bearish, the price got rejected from a strong s/r zone expecting a pullback and a bearish continuation.
the weekly price broke the previous swing and now it's retracing it
on the daily price is making a bearish structure with high momentum candlesticks indicating high liquidity in the market
on the 4h, I am looking for a price to break below the new structure with heavy bearish candles and below the ema's after that imma look for my entry on the 1h