GBPAUD POSSIBLE SCENARIO EXPLAINED|additional chart in the post.

The pair has returned into the 4 year upward channel and is now trading inside a big horizontal structure.

It is possible that it will bounce back from the level and follow the direction outlined by the black lines on the chart, hitting the resistance of the upward channel again, before reaching the support of it which will by that time comfortably rest inside the horizontal structure. That scenario is supported by the fact that the RSI indicates the pair is significantly oversold and therefore some correction up is inevitable.

However, if zoomed out(chart below), it can be seen that the price has violated a local support level, and did not show any strength which begs a question of whether there are any buyers left at this levels. If the lack of buyers assumption is correct, then the pair is most likely to keep falling within the downward channel to the intersection of the diagonal upward channel support line and the horizontal support level.

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Comment:

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