LoneWolfCapital

GBP/USD - Excellent Swing Trading Opportunity

Short
FX_IDC:GBPUSD   British Pound / U.S. Dollar
Technical Confluence:

1. Long-term bullish trend-line now acting as new resistance
2. Bearish rejection of trend-line connecting lower swing highs
3. Rejection of key 1.55 S/R level
4. Rejection of 50 EMA
5. High-Test Candle

Fundamental Confluence:

1. GBP Manufacturing PMI came in at 51.4 vs a 52.6 forecast. The UK economy is now hovering above the important 50.0 neutral level as the manufacturing sector within the UK continues to weaken.

2. Manufacturing Production m/m came in at a -0.6% contraction vs 0.1% expected growth. This adds even more support to the contracting manufacturing sector within the UK

3. The official bank rate was kept at a record low 0.5% on Thursday, July 9th as the BoE reduced its hawkish tone eliminating any risk of a possible U.K rate hike in the near future.

4. The Greek Bailout Deal has reduced overall market risk, and investors are now piling back into the US Dollar. I am expecting the next leg of the USD bull market to resume for the remainder of the summer.

Entry Details:

I have entered this trade with a hybrid strategy utilizing two positions.

1. Each position has been entered at 1.54850, with each stop-loss at 1.55850
2. The target for position 1 is at 1.53850 offering a 1:1 Risk-Reward
3. Once Target 1 is reached, position 2 will be moved to break-even.
4. I will then utilize smart stop-placement to generate as much profit potential out of position 2 as possible.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.