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KCSUSDT A complete long-term overview on the 1W time-frame

KUCOIN:KCSUSDT   KuCoin Token / Tether
I haven't made a long-term analysis on the KuCoin token (KCSUSDT), and there couldn't have been a better time than now with the recent pull-back on the crypto market, in order to set the big picture straight.

** The Pitchfork application **
This chart is on the weekly (1W) time-frame and I have based it on the Pitchfork tool. As you see, it puts the price action since 2021 into perspective as most of the volatility has been dealt within the Pitchfork's median (dotted line) and the lower 0.5 Fibonacci level (dashed line). That creates a Channel Up that we can work with.

** The 2020 fractal **
Right now it appears that the correction of KCS since the November All Time High (ATH) is similar to the 2020 sequence of January to July. Even the RSI and LMACD indicators are identical. Upon breaking this formation in 2020, the price failed to cross above the Resistance of the High before the March 2020 COVID crash, and continued on a wide consolidation until the eventual break-out and the rally of 2021.

As a result our focus should be the November 2021 Resistance. If broken, I expect KCSUSDT to continue its rise within the Channel Up of the Pitchfork's median and lower 0.5 Fib. If the price gets rejected on the Resistance though, we may see another pull-back and consolidation towards the lower bands of the Pitchfork.

The upside has a strong case so far as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has been supporting since early January 2021. Also notice how the wider phase from 2021 until now is similar to that of April 2019 until July 2020, in terms of RSI and LMACD mostly. In terms of price action the critical difference is that 2021/22 has been inclined upwards due to that Channel Up within the Pitchfork's bands.



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