We’re going to go out on a limb here and say your date night budgets and recessionary risk are likely inversely correlated! As recessionary risk starts to weigh on investors’ minds, purse strings for date nights are likely to be tightened, which spells trouble for the date night classic, wine & steak pair.
Cattle Futures have joined the broad market selloff over the past few days as investors remain on edge. This recent move lower has confirmed a break below the neckline support for a double top pattern observed on a shorter timeframe, which is noted as a bearish reversal pattern.
On a longer timeframe, the decline has also broken the 4-month long uptrend for Live Cattle. With not much in the way of support, it’s quite possible to see another leg lower, similar to the pattern we observed in May 2022 where prices corrected around 4.5% once the uptrend was broken.
Using this as a reference, the 143 range marks the next potential stop for live cattle prices if we were to extrapolate a 4.5% decline from the breakout point.
The broken uptrend followed by the confirmation of the double top pattern spells trouble for live cattle prices. As such, we lean bearish on live cattle futures and will likely swap the date night steak for perhaps chicken…
Entry at 148.550, stop at 150.325. Target at 144.850 and 143.075.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com/gopro/
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
Cattle Futures have joined the broad market selloff over the past few days as investors remain on edge. This recent move lower has confirmed a break below the neckline support for a double top pattern observed on a shorter timeframe, which is noted as a bearish reversal pattern.
On a longer timeframe, the decline has also broken the 4-month long uptrend for Live Cattle. With not much in the way of support, it’s quite possible to see another leg lower, similar to the pattern we observed in May 2022 where prices corrected around 4.5% once the uptrend was broken.
Using this as a reference, the 143 range marks the next potential stop for live cattle prices if we were to extrapolate a 4.5% decline from the breakout point.
The broken uptrend followed by the confirmation of the double top pattern spells trouble for live cattle prices. As such, we lean bearish on live cattle futures and will likely swap the date night steak for perhaps chicken…
Entry at 148.550, stop at 150.325. Target at 144.850 and 143.075.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com/gopro/
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
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