4 Scenario of Correction to Recession. 50-80% discount coming.
This is a technical chart showing levels and pattern for coming scenarios. Big Risk of Crash with Russia market crash 50% and we have massive debt in the world, around 10x as 2008.
GBPUSD and AUDUSD has been on a run of 30% in 2 years time and index in US on a run of 150% gain. Most index stocks have multiplied and we have a inflation of 5% that indicate we need a deflation
Scenario to not risk of destroying dollar currency. That shows that we cant keep pumping inflational products like oil, metals and stocks any longer. We hit the big problem in November with a big expire
of options. We are at level now when War has pause the crash of the economy and set in on a temporary run and a chock in the system is already in play. Just matter of days to weeks before it will affect the market again.
I recommend the same I did in Nov about market crash. Stay in cash and dollar preffered with a euro, gbpusd, aud every overextended gains in 2 years. Market can tumble very fast coming future. I see this month going into negative numbers.
With Treasury yield around 2.5% is risk of reversal in market. Good procent for short term hold as risk management and more secure product. I was right about 2020 and nov 2021. the end is very near and very overextended because of the war scenario.
Risk for oil going back to 65 in days is very true. production price is around there and we have a scenario for market that shows market weakness if we start to go passed that price in inflationary products. remember oil shows the way. Metals is coming back down.
Its just matter of timing.
Best Regards
Robin Bertlin
GBPUSD and AUDUSD has been on a run of 30% in 2 years time and index in US on a run of 150% gain. Most index stocks have multiplied and we have a inflation of 5% that indicate we need a deflation
Scenario to not risk of destroying dollar currency. That shows that we cant keep pumping inflational products like oil, metals and stocks any longer. We hit the big problem in November with a big expire
of options. We are at level now when War has pause the crash of the economy and set in on a temporary run and a chock in the system is already in play. Just matter of days to weeks before it will affect the market again.
I recommend the same I did in Nov about market crash. Stay in cash and dollar preffered with a euro, gbpusd, aud every overextended gains in 2 years. Market can tumble very fast coming future. I see this month going into negative numbers.
With Treasury yield around 2.5% is risk of reversal in market. Good procent for short term hold as risk management and more secure product. I was right about 2020 and nov 2021. the end is very near and very overextended because of the war scenario.
Risk for oil going back to 65 in days is very true. production price is around there and we have a scenario for market that shows market weakness if we start to go passed that price in inflationary products. remember oil shows the way. Metals is coming back down.
Its just matter of timing.
Best Regards
Robin Bertlin