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Does the Nasdaq Need a Pause?

TVC:NDQ   US 100 Index
The Nasdaq-100 has been running as investors flock back to growth stocks. But is it time for a pause?

The index has gained each of the five weeks so far this year -- its longest winning streak since November 2021.

Speaking of November 2021, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) ended yesterday at its highest level (73.53) since that same month shortly before the bear market began.

Next is the September high around 12,753. NDQ closed above it yesterday, but it may still represent important resistance.

Third, the upper chart plots the 10-day simple moving average (SMA) in yellow. The lower study is our custom script Distance from MA, which shows Thursday’s close was the highest distance above the 10-day SMA in almost three years. Is the index overbought?

Given the sharpness of the recent surge and the broad negativity in the market, pullbacks could be shallow. But if NDQ gets stuck near the September high, sellers could get active. In that case traders may eye 12,000 as an important level because it was a low in early September and near the highs of November and December.

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