Nifty Updates for Next week - 16th to 20th May 2022

Nifty 50 Index ended lower for the sixth straight session on Friday, reversing from earlier gains. The index logged its fifth straight week of losses, the longest weekly losing streak since the Covid-19 crash, breaking the critical psychological level of 16,000. India’s retail inflation came in at an 8-year high, and RBI indicated its intent to get the repo rate back to pre-Covid levels, adding fuel to the already weak global cues. India VIX also shot up to 23.48, indicating the fear in the markets.

Week ahead
The index has been in the downtrend since April last week, making lower lows/highs, facing the downward trendline resistance. After breaking the 16,000 index made an impulsive down-move and took support near the 15,700 level. A short pullback was sold into, facing resistance at the half-bat pattern (16,070), which will now act as a major hurdle. Short-term trend reversal will be possible only if this level is broken and sustained. A break above this hurdle will see the rise extending up to 16,400. A breakdown and retest of current levels will activate the ‘ABCD’ pattern, which can take the index to 15,400 levels. 16100-15700 is the important range to look out for the week.

As the result season nears its last leg, markets will focus more on global cues to determine its direction. In India, WPI figures are expected to be released, and the most awaited IPO, LIC will be listed on the bourse during the upcoming week. Will the market bottom out? or are we here for more pain? Follow us for real-time updates as the week progresses.