Description
NVDA has seen consistent gains following the upside break of its descending intermediate trendline on 17JAN. Now it seems to have settled into a consolidation pattern (Ascending Triangle) following the event-related runaway gap up through an ATH on 25May. Ascending triangles represent a healthy demand for a stock with a planned distribution at a particular price, which appears to be 480, and now we are now seeing the second rejection of the upper boundary of the pattern @482.
At the same time, DIA, SPY and IXIC have all seen retests and rejections of their 50D EMAs today. In general, I expect the continued fall in the indexes to keep NVDA in consolidation, despite consistent earnings outperformance.
Technical Indicators to signal the entry:
Ascending Wedge upper boundary second rejection.
Technical Risk Factors:
MACD 12 over 26 bullish cross
The expected price is <482 until breakout of the pattern.
I will be using short dated call credit spreads to:
Limit upside risk while maintaining a neutral position
take advantage of skewed earnings IV
Call Credit Spread
Levels on Chart
SL: 482 / or a minor that does not reach the ascending trendline at the bottom of the pattern
PT: <482
TP: @ expirations
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
8/25 487.5C
SELL
8/25 482.5C
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
NVDA has seen consistent gains following the upside break of its descending intermediate trendline on 17JAN. Now it seems to have settled into a consolidation pattern (Ascending Triangle) following the event-related runaway gap up through an ATH on 25May. Ascending triangles represent a healthy demand for a stock with a planned distribution at a particular price, which appears to be 480, and now we are now seeing the second rejection of the upper boundary of the pattern @482.
At the same time, DIA, SPY and IXIC have all seen retests and rejections of their 50D EMAs today. In general, I expect the continued fall in the indexes to keep NVDA in consolidation, despite consistent earnings outperformance.
Technical Indicators to signal the entry:
Ascending Wedge upper boundary second rejection.
Technical Risk Factors:
MACD 12 over 26 bullish cross
The expected price is <482 until breakout of the pattern.
I will be using short dated call credit spreads to:
Limit upside risk while maintaining a neutral position
take advantage of skewed earnings IV
Call Credit Spread
Levels on Chart
SL: 482 / or a minor that does not reach the ascending trendline at the bottom of the pattern
PT: <482
TP: @ expirations
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
8/25 487.5C
SELL
8/25 482.5C
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
Trade active:
Filled 8/22 @ 1.7 Credit
Trade closed: target reached:
Bit of late update, but my 8/25's expired full credit. I am revising my chart picture into a channel.