AzizKhanZamani

NZDUSD Weekly S/R|200DMA|Broadening Wedge .618 Fib|Bearish PA

Short
FX:NZDUSD   New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar
Evening Traders,

Today’s Analysis – NZDUSD- trading in an Ascending Broadening Wedge with bearish price action, a retest of Weekly S/R likely.

Points to consider,
- Bearish Structure (H&S Pattern)
- .618 Fibonacci Resistance
- Weekly S/R Support (200DMA Confluence)
- RSI Bullish Divergence
- Stochastics Buy Cross
- Volume Declining

The current price action for NZDUSD is bearish representing the psychology of a head and shoulders pattern. The larger formation, the Ascending Broadening Wedge has a higher probability of breaking down. This allows us to have a bearish bias on the market.

The immediate price action has a bullish divergence playing out as indicated by the RSI and the buy cross on the Stochastics. Price is likely to respect resistance from the .618 Fibonacci to complete a probable right shoulder.

Weekly S/R is current macro support with the 200 DMA in confluence; price is likely to come for a back test ad hold of this level.

The volume profile is currently declining, indicative of an influx when key trade locations are tested, especially Weekly S/R levels.

Overall, in my opinion, NZDUSD needs further development in price action before any valid short entries. Price action is to be monitored upon discretion when placing trades.

Hope this analysis helps

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