Tolberti

The big short - S&P 500!

Short
SP:SPX   S&P 500 Index
  • The situation for the stock market is really terrible. The fundamentals have never been worse in the last decade and it looks like we are going to drop even lower. 
  • We have probably started a brand new major uptrend in interest rates that can reach 15% - 20% in the near future. Also, government bonds are rising, which is deadly for the stock market. 
  • Let's be honest, it's not the best time to be in the markets if you are an investor. I believe there is an opportunity for swing traders and also day traders. 
  • There is a possibility of a 10-year sideways bear market for the whole stock market, as happened in 2000 - 2009 or 1968 - 1980.
  • The price is moving in a descending broadening wedge pattern and there is more than enough space to go lower from the current price. 
  • Regarding my Elliott Wave analysis, we have completed 2 first waves (A, B) and we are currently in a C wave if we want to stay bullish. It can also be a third wave of the impulse (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) as a bearish scenario. 
  • I expect the 2700 level to be a strong support, which is also the FIB 1.618 extension from wave A -> B. There is also a confluence with the POC level of an expanding triangle from 2018 - 2020.
  • Look at my ideas about GOLD and Bitcoin in the related section down below.
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