SPX 30 day expected move

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 Index
Based on a current VIX of 15 divided by the square root of 12 (months).

This implies a 30 day SPX expected move of +/- 4.33% (1 standard deviation range).

The market is pricing in a 68% probability the SPX will close within 2620-2860 by Aug 2.

What are your thoughts on trading the expected move implied by the VIX or options market?


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