ChartArt
Short

[DISCUSSION] What is causing the big stock market crash of 2016?

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 index of US listed shares
fed
300 8 6
fed
On November 12, 2015 the price has been falling at the key decision point at 2060-2070 between holding this bubble up until 2017 or creating the next big crash. Bulls (and banks) gave up today and now we have a massive dead cat bounce emerging on the weekly chart.

The only thing which can stop this now would be a surprise that if the Fed starts hiking, that the stock market isn't falling apart for several weeks, like it did every previous time after a key rate hike.

What is causing the big stock market crash of 2016?
Please name your reasons why you see the market falling. Or which signs do you see emerging which can stop the next big depression.
ChartArt
a year ago
Same chart zoomed-in. The bars pattern from the past now in the gray color:

snapshot
+1 Reply
grahvity
a year ago
#shemitah according to @kazonomics...You can never be too certain how serious he is though.
Reply
ChartArt grahvity
a year ago
That's basically a name for a seven year cycle, which might or might not exist. According to the research of Armstrong the length of the cycle is 8.6 years:
http://www.economicconfidencemodels.com/

The Wikipedia lists cycle lengths of 7-11 years:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Business_cycle#Classification_by_periods

I think the cycle is just everyone starring at the MACD on the monthly chart and seeing the same trend unfolding ...
+1 Reply
etsimastuottoa ChartArt
10 months ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Op83jE85JNU
Reply
LastBattle
a year ago
False momentary system will always collapse in the absence of QE -- (where are you yellen, yelling for QE4?)

-Record share buy back by cooperates out of cheap debt is unsustainable.
-Economy only grows when you produce more goods than you can consume, and sell the remaining. What's happening now is simply people putting on massive debt on cheap interest and churning it out just to pay interest (China steel companies, iron, shale oil)
I'm waiting for the waves of default which is happening any time now. This is creating a huge deflationary pressure
-We're running out of greater fools, S&P is only green for the year with a few names like Amazon and we've also many unicorns like Uber, Snapchat, Xiaomi without profit and insane valuation


Nothing have ever been solved since the 2008 crisis, the FED is just simply buying time now. Only this time, we see a clearer picture of an even bigger bubble.
+3 Reply
ChartArt LastBattle
a year ago
Good point. Sadly this 'buying time' idea wasn't very smart in my view, because it expanded the bubble even more. I think the best point of increasing rates would have been in 2014 after the breakout to higher highs (just based on the S&P 500 US stock market index in this case).

I agree with all your other points as well. The economies around the world need to get stronger faster.
+1 Reply
blackswan ChartArt
a year ago
this is one of the elites goal which is to indebt plebeian crowd with 0% interest and then rob them off their freedom and wealth when the music stops. time to come the sheeple will have to be at the point where they have to depend on one government.
+1 Reply
ChartArt
a year ago
Three important things which happened on November 12, 2015, which I forgot to mention:

1. The S&P 500 turned back negative for the entire year 2015 on this day.
2. And it fell back below the 200-day simple moving average
3. Fed Chair Janet Yellen also spoke that Thursday at a conference about policy implementation after the 2007-2009 financial crisis
+1 Reply
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