SLOPolarBear

SPY - Pullback to $333

Short
AMEX:SPY   SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST
I chose the 4-hour chart for this pitch since it's a perfect blend of all of the time frames leading into next week.

A handful of indicators show price divergence in the lower time frames:
1. Volume-weighted RSI
2. Increasing selling volume
3. Accumulation/Distribution

Each of these indicators are fairly bullish AFTER the retracement, which is why I'm predicting a brief price markdown followed by a bounce. From there, lots of unknowns. Future clouds reveal support at these levels is fragile; a double-bottom @ $333 would be a nice price point to bounce into the daily/weekly trends, which are bullish until the first week of November (you don't say?). The predicted pattern gives us a failed head and shoulders which will be shorted on the 2nd bounce and give a little rocket fuel to the upward bounce as they buy to cover.

I'm a fan of Ichimoku Clouds with the SPY. Price almost always retraces after breaking out from a downtrend. Trump is in Sanford, Florida doing a rally on Monday -- seems like a ripe opportunity for him to tweet/say something stupid to kickstart this correction.

Anyone else have any thoughts?
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.