OPENING: TLT NOV 16TH 112/2X114/115 BROKEN WING BUTTERFLY
... for a .71/contract debit. Small bet that treasury sell-off is overdone here and/or there will be some risk-off running into mid-term elections.
Metrics:
Probability of Profit: 51%
Max Profit: 1.29/contract
Max Loss: .71/contract
Break Even: 112.71 (no downside risk)
Notes: Will begin to look at taking the entire setup off as a unit at 25% max. You can also look to strip off aspects of the setup, with the ideal goal being to get what remains for free (e.g., strip off the short call aspect at or near what you paid for the entire setup, allow the long call vert aspect to "ride").
Metrics:
Probability of Profit: 51%
Max Profit: 1.29/contract
Max Loss: .71/contract
Break Even: 112.71 (no downside risk)
Notes: Will begin to look at taking the entire setup off as a unit at 25% max. You can also look to strip off aspects of the setup, with the ideal goal being to get what remains for free (e.g., strip off the short call aspect at or near what you paid for the entire setup, allow the long call vert aspect to "ride").
Trade closed manually:
Nowww I remember why I don't like these very much. They take forever to come in ... . Covering here for a small winner with 23 days to go -- .87/contract/.16 ($16) profit.