Technical analysis of major crypto currencies, January 23 – 29
Last week in the news
Positive sentiment from the week before, continued also during the previous week. Both EU and US equity markets gained, in expectation that the FED will slow down its monetary tightening and increase of reference interest rates. The crypto market is also weighing on the same news, despite further negative news from the industry related to FTX contingencies. Bitcoin broke $23K, while Ether is holding above $1.6K.
The FTX collapse contingencies continue on the crypto market. During the previous week the crypto lending firm Genesis filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The company filled in its documents with over 100.000 creditors. It is also noted that the company owes $3.5 billion to 50 largest creditors. One of the names that is mentioned is Stellar Development foundation, which is founded as a non-profit organisation, with the aim to promote the Stellar blockchain. For some time now Genesis has been in the news over the speculations on its exposures toward the FTX exchanger and problems in their lending business.
Layoffs in the tech and crypto industry continue. As per a letter submitted to Google employees, the CEO of Google, Sundar Pichai, noted that the company will start laying off a total 12.000 of its staff in the U.S. and in other countries. Google is just another large tech company who decided on this step in expectation of the forthcoming recession, and after Microsoft announced a decrease of 10.000 of its workforce and Amazon of 18.000.
The CryptoCompare issued a report on the crypto market trends during the year 2022, noting that the Binance exchanger gained the highest share of the exchangers market, increasing it by 16,3% y/y. As it has been noted in the report, the increase is a result of higher adoption of cryptocurrencies, “particularly in the emerging markets”.
Although China banned both use of the cryptocurrencies and its mining, still, they are looking ahead to the introduction of their own digital currency called digital yuan. For a few years the project has been developed and is currently in the testing phase. As Coindesk is reporting, the smart-contract functionality for digital yuan is enabled for the e-commerce platform Maituan, which is one of the largest platforms in China for food delivery. This would be the first time that the smart contracts for the CBDC will be tested on a large scale of retail users.
The big 4 rating agencies are still not convinced over the future performance of the Coinbase (COIN). During the previous week the rating agency Moody's downgraded this company to so-called “junk” or non-investment grade. The agency is noting “weakened revenue and cash flow generation capacity” for such an action, coming from continuous challenges from the operating environment.
Crypto market cap
The optimism from the previous week is still holding on the market. Equities have positively perceived voicing from several FED officials who will support further tightening of the US monetary policy, but with lower rates increases, at 25 bps. Since this is in line with market expectations, the markets had another green week. Contingencies of the FTX collapse continued on the crypto market, with Genesis filling for the Chapter 11, which was also in line with the market expectations. With the latest surge in the crypto coin prices, total crypto market capitalization reached again $1 trillion, reaching the level from the beginning of November last year. During the previous week the crypto market surged by additional 8%, adding $71B to its cap, outperforming equity markets for one more time. The largest contributors of this surge were the most popular coins on the market. Still, daily trading volumes were modestly decreased during the week, reaching $117B on a weekly basis, which is a drop from $153B traded during a week before. Total crypto market capitalization has increased by 33% since the beginning of this year, adding total $246B to the market cap.
Increase in the total crypto market capitalization during the previous week was mostly supported by the two largest coins on the market, BTC and ETH. Bitcoin outperformed the market with a surge in cap of more than 11%, adding $45.7B to its capitalization on a weekly basis. BTC was followed by ETH, which added $16.2B to market cap, increasing it by 8.7%. Another coin with quite good weekly performance in nominal terms was Solana, with a gain of $1.18B, or more than 14% within a single week. This was one of the rare weeks when Binance Coin did not contribute significantly to total crypto market capitalization. Namely, although the price of the coin increased during the week, still, its circulating coins were down by 1.3%, which held BNB`s market cap to almost the same level as it was during the week before. Filecoin continues to keep market attention, through an increase in its market cap by 18.5% within a single week, but, at the same time, it increased its coins in circulation by additional 2.2%. Other altcoins performed on a solid ground during the week, mostly increasing their market cap from 0% up to 10%.
Crypto futures market
General market optimism is continuing to fuel the crypto futures market. During the previous week both long and short term futures for BTC and ETH gained in prices during the week. BTC short term futures were traded more than 12% higher from the week before, while ETH futures were up by more than 13% on average. As for the long term futures for BTC, the prices have increased by more than 10% w/w, however, they are still holding in inverted mood, as December 2023 ended the week at price $20.905, while December 2024 finished the week at price of $20.695.
ETH long term futures were up at the lower pace from the short term ones, adding more than 8% in price on a weekly basis. Also, ETH futures prices continue to move in inverted shape, where December 2023 maturing futures were traded at price $1.531, and December 2024 at $1.497. Inverted futures prices are showing that investors continue to perceive the influence of recession in the US, potentially in the rest of the world, as a main driver of the crypto future prices.
Positive sentiment from the week before, continued also during the previous week. Both EU and US equity markets gained, in expectation that the FED will slow down its monetary tightening and increase of reference interest rates. The crypto market is also weighing on the same news, despite further negative news from the industry related to FTX contingencies. Bitcoin broke $23K, while Ether is holding above $1.6K.
The FTX collapse contingencies continue on the crypto market. During the previous week the crypto lending firm Genesis filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The company filled in its documents with over 100.000 creditors. It is also noted that the company owes $3.5 billion to 50 largest creditors. One of the names that is mentioned is Stellar Development foundation, which is founded as a non-profit organisation, with the aim to promote the Stellar blockchain. For some time now Genesis has been in the news over the speculations on its exposures toward the FTX exchanger and problems in their lending business.
Layoffs in the tech and crypto industry continue. As per a letter submitted to Google employees, the CEO of Google, Sundar Pichai, noted that the company will start laying off a total 12.000 of its staff in the U.S. and in other countries. Google is just another large tech company who decided on this step in expectation of the forthcoming recession, and after Microsoft announced a decrease of 10.000 of its workforce and Amazon of 18.000.
The CryptoCompare issued a report on the crypto market trends during the year 2022, noting that the Binance exchanger gained the highest share of the exchangers market, increasing it by 16,3% y/y. As it has been noted in the report, the increase is a result of higher adoption of cryptocurrencies, “particularly in the emerging markets”.
Although China banned both use of the cryptocurrencies and its mining, still, they are looking ahead to the introduction of their own digital currency called digital yuan. For a few years the project has been developed and is currently in the testing phase. As Coindesk is reporting, the smart-contract functionality for digital yuan is enabled for the e-commerce platform Maituan, which is one of the largest platforms in China for food delivery. This would be the first time that the smart contracts for the CBDC will be tested on a large scale of retail users.
The big 4 rating agencies are still not convinced over the future performance of the Coinbase (COIN). During the previous week the rating agency Moody's downgraded this company to so-called “junk” or non-investment grade. The agency is noting “weakened revenue and cash flow generation capacity” for such an action, coming from continuous challenges from the operating environment.
Crypto market cap
The optimism from the previous week is still holding on the market. Equities have positively perceived voicing from several FED officials who will support further tightening of the US monetary policy, but with lower rates increases, at 25 bps. Since this is in line with market expectations, the markets had another green week. Contingencies of the FTX collapse continued on the crypto market, with Genesis filling for the Chapter 11, which was also in line with the market expectations. With the latest surge in the crypto coin prices, total crypto market capitalization reached again $1 trillion, reaching the level from the beginning of November last year. During the previous week the crypto market surged by additional 8%, adding $71B to its cap, outperforming equity markets for one more time. The largest contributors of this surge were the most popular coins on the market. Still, daily trading volumes were modestly decreased during the week, reaching $117B on a weekly basis, which is a drop from $153B traded during a week before. Total crypto market capitalization has increased by 33% since the beginning of this year, adding total $246B to the market cap.
Increase in the total crypto market capitalization during the previous week was mostly supported by the two largest coins on the market, BTC and ETH. Bitcoin outperformed the market with a surge in cap of more than 11%, adding $45.7B to its capitalization on a weekly basis. BTC was followed by ETH, which added $16.2B to market cap, increasing it by 8.7%. Another coin with quite good weekly performance in nominal terms was Solana, with a gain of $1.18B, or more than 14% within a single week. This was one of the rare weeks when Binance Coin did not contribute significantly to total crypto market capitalization. Namely, although the price of the coin increased during the week, still, its circulating coins were down by 1.3%, which held BNB`s market cap to almost the same level as it was during the week before. Filecoin continues to keep market attention, through an increase in its market cap by 18.5% within a single week, but, at the same time, it increased its coins in circulation by additional 2.2%. Other altcoins performed on a solid ground during the week, mostly increasing their market cap from 0% up to 10%.
Crypto futures market
General market optimism is continuing to fuel the crypto futures market. During the previous week both long and short term futures for BTC and ETH gained in prices during the week. BTC short term futures were traded more than 12% higher from the week before, while ETH futures were up by more than 13% on average. As for the long term futures for BTC, the prices have increased by more than 10% w/w, however, they are still holding in inverted mood, as December 2023 ended the week at price $20.905, while December 2024 finished the week at price of $20.695.
ETH long term futures were up at the lower pace from the short term ones, adding more than 8% in price on a weekly basis. Also, ETH futures prices continue to move in inverted shape, where December 2023 maturing futures were traded at price $1.531, and December 2024 at $1.497. Inverted futures prices are showing that investors continue to perceive the influence of recession in the US, potentially in the rest of the world, as a main driver of the crypto future prices.
