Pepperstone

强势美元主导下,美/加有望完成突破

Long
PEPPERSTONE:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar

美元指数已经连续5周收涨,与此相对应的是非美货币、大宗商品,和美股连续数周的下挫!

在FED祭出“50bp加息+6月缩表”的组合拳之后,强势美元成为了目前市场中唯一的逻辑。

USDCAD目前处在突破的边缘,在1.2947附近要面对的是18个月之久的阻力区域,若能顺势突破有望冲击1.3380的前高。会不会爆发出如前期USDJPY和USDCHF等那样疯狂的涨势呢?

当然,本周需要重点关注周三的美国CPI。若数据不及预期的8.1%甚至回落至8%以下,美元的单边涨势或许将暂时告一段落(黄金和美股则有望迎来反弹),届时汇价可能会重新回落到此前交投区间的中值附近。

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