Cincinnatuus

Some Insight on the Trade War with China

Long
FX_IDC:USDCNY   U.S. Dollar / Chinese Yuan
Had some Trump Trade Politics come out this week about ‘eminent progress,’ being made with China on trade just before the November Elections. This was denied by all sorts of Washington insiders, but begs the question, when will we see some sort of resolution on trade with China?

I think it would be great for China to evolve from being a Globalist/Corporatist New World Order TOOL to switching to a stance of Integrity and Honor, dealing fairly with their trade partners, improving the standard of living in China, and forsaking the evils of Mercantilism. Literally Everybody, except the NWO, would be better off if they did this, but that would represent a cultural change for China, switching from their own insular little world, and taking advantage of those around them, to standing as a contributing member on the larger world stage.

Fundamentally what do we know? We know Xi and Trump are meeting in December, and that a quarter trillion dollars’ worth of trade is going from 10% to 25% in January. We also know Trump is going to slap tariffs on the rest of China’s exports at some point due to lack of progress.

Technically, looking at the Long-Term picture, the USDCNY is in the C Wave of a rising Running Flat, making a measured move that would take prices up in the 7.15 to 7.20 range. We also know that this move would complete an even higher degree B wave. In Elliott Wave flat corrections there is often a time relationship between the corrective waves. If the B and C wave as shown are added together, it would be close in the length of time to the A wave.
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