ActuaryJ

USOIL is poised to reach $71.63

Long
ActuaryJ Updated   
TVC:USOIL   CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
International oil prices were basically stable this Friday, and the U.S. index rebounded from a more than one-month low, limiting the rise in oil prices. Oil prices snapped a two-week losing streak on optimism over rising energy demand in top crude importer China. The upper pressure level of crude oil is 71.63 US dollars.

The data released on Thursday showed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits last week was higher than expected, and the U.S. industrial production unexpectedly fell by 0.2% in May, causing the U.S. dollar index to plummet by nearly 0.9%. However, U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose in May, and the U.S. index rebounded after hitting a low of 102.043 since May 12 on Friday.

Data released on Thursday showed that China's refinery throughput in May increased by 15.4% year-on-year, the second highest in history. The chief executive of Kuwait Petroleum Company said that China's demand for oil is expected to continue to climb at a confident pace in the second half of this year.

Analysts also expect the latest production cuts announced by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) in May and further voluntary cuts by Saudi Arabia in July to support prices. Still, markets are struggling to shake the panic as the global growth outlook remains vulnerable to further shocks from aggressive rate hikes.

The European Central Bank raised interest rates to a 22-year high as scheduled overnight. The Fed said this week that it will raise interest rates by at least 50 basis points by the end of the year. Higher interest rates end up increasing borrowing costs for consumers, which could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

On the hourly chart, oil prices have started an upward trend from US$68, and the upper resistance is looking at the 100% target at US$71.63.
Trade active:
Once rose to 70.7
Trade closed: target reached:
The close was around 71.63, as I expected

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