TVC:USOIL   CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Good Evening guys;

Here is my opening week breakdown/overview for OIL...

As we can see from the $87 dollar region OIL reversed nicely with a large bearish gap and a rejection of the trendline. We can see that OIL has had some of the most bearish 4hr candles that we have seen in a while and this is a good sign for a deeper correction, we can also see that bulls are struggling to gain lost ground so sellers are in the market to an extent. The more organic candle development there is, the easier charts flow. We can see from the reversal area that Oil has made a gradual correction almost forming a natural channel but we can see under the most recent candles that for buyers price is in steep incline making it unstable and liable to breakouts.

OIL is caught between the two dashed orange lines and this is a choppy range where oil will either break to the upside or downside (arrows mapping the movements). Should OIL fall below the bottom orange line then it will be a quick drop to the bullish reversal zone. This bullish reversal zone is key for oils development. Should it break then we will see deep liquidity to the red line or even drop off 72.40.

In this case I see 80.40 acting a strong support area and creating a new lower high in the market attracting buyers again. OIL is still stupidly bullish which is why I have marked the "blue arrow scenario" because we can't ignore this. Tensions with Russia could cause extreme volatility within oil at any moment so I am taking less risk and keeping tighter stop losses on ALL trades.

The community has been given a road map to follow for oil and so far it's playing out nicely, upon clear rejections I will be looking to short again and then buy once support is found around 80.40.

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