ActuaryJ

XAUUSD:6/11 Today’s Trading Strategy

ActuaryJ Updated   
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
The price of gold opened at 1991.6 on Monday, and has been trading at the lowest level near 1981 so far, falling by 10 US dollars since the opening. Looking back at the market performance last week, the price of gold maintained a high consolidation posture, failing to remain above US$2,000, and fell by nearly US$10 last week. Some analysts pointed out that the gold price lacks the motivation to exceed US$2,000 in the short term. Recently, the expectation of global economic recovery and the advancement of the U.S. fiscal stimulus plan have increased investors' demand for risky assets, resulting in a weakening of the upward momentum of gold prices. In addition, the rebound in the US dollar index also put pressure on gold prices. However, the current trend of the gold market is still bullish, and both bulls and shorts have the opportunity to gain profits.

According to the observation of the daily cycle, we can see that the previous double top in 2009 did not break. The high point of the left shoulder is 1998. Although the right shoulder has not yet been determined, the current high point is 2003. As long as this point is not broken this week, the right shoulder high may be formed this week, forming a complete head and shoulders top. Therefore, at the beginning of the week, the focus is to see whether 2003 breaks out of position. If it does not break, the daily head and shoulders top will be formed, and there will be a clear technical basis for the market outlook whether it is a unilateral decline or a volatile decline. The daily line below can be seen to be around 1952. Only when 1950 breaks, can we confirm that this wave of gold has turned short. The 4-hour cycle is more obvious. After the non-farm payrolls data surged to 2003 on Friday, the Bollinger Bands did not open, including the closing K-line, which closed within the Bollinger Bands range. Therefore, there is a high probability that it will still fluctuate at a high level at the beginning of the week, with the range set at 2005/1975. At the beginning of the week, you can do high-short, low-long transactions within this range. But if it effectively falls below 1975, the support points of 1962 and 1950 will gradually be seen below. Since gold still maintains a bullish trend for the time being, it is still possible to break through upward. Therefore, as long as the trend does not change in recent transactions, try to focus on short-term trading.

SELL:1990~1992
SL:1997
TP1:1985
TP2:1980

BUY:1977~1979
SL:1972
TP1:1984
TP2:1989
Comment:
The short-term long position has already made a profit
Trade active
Trade active
Trade active:
If gold fails to hold the support of 1970, then gold will test the next support level of 1963. If it fails to hold this support, gold will fall towards the psychological defense line of 1950 for most traders.
Trade active:
Good luck today and feel free to check my signals at the end of the article

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