Cuddles1997-1999

Long XAUUSD late stage economic cycle inflation - trade war 3700

Long
FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
The last time the US tried to have a trade war was back in 2002 where the dollar fell dramatically. Late stage economic cycles are characterized by rampant inflation of industrial inputs and also gold as a hedge against inflation.

My target of around 3700 in the next few years seems insane. Yet, when compared to the last time this same political situation was present the relative % increase to what I'm proposing was less.

First MAJOR weekly resistance is 1450 as I use Fibonacci extensions quite a lot.

I WAS waiting for a more reasonable entry at 1300 but I believe I was wrong.

The last insane bull run starting in 2002 began with a golden cross of 50MA crossing 200ma on the weekly, this just happened a few weeks ago.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.