ActuaryJ

XAUUSD: 26/4 Will Gold Continue to Fall?

Short
ActuaryJ Updated   
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
In early trading in Asia on Friday (April 26), gold fluctuated within a narrow range around the 2330 key point. The United States announced an unexpected slowdown in economic growth in the first quarter and higher-than-expected inflation. The US dollar was hit, and gold rose by more than $16. The United States After the GDP data was released, the price of gold soared to 2344. In addition, the geopolitical situation is also conducive to the rebound of gold prices. Israeli media reported that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved a plan to launch a ground operation in the southern city of Rafah in the Gaza Strip.

For gold, the price gains come after falling almost 3% over the past week as traders lowered their assessment of expanding tensions in the Middle East. Weak GDP data could also lead to a reassessment of the Fed's stance on keeping interest rates higher for the longer term. The GDP data also dampened hopes for a soft landing for the U.S. economy. A soft landing is a scenario in which the Fed is able to achieve price stability while avoiding a recession. Meanwhile, a strong personal consumption expenditures price index (PCE) rose 3.4%, which may mean a further delay in interest rate cuts.

Currently, as tensions in the Middle East gradually ease, safe-haven demand for gold remains weak in the short term. Additionally, the current chart setup suggests that gold prices are on the back foot after this week’s steep decline. Looking ahead, investors will focus on core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) data for March, which will guide the next move in gold prices.

technical analysis
Gold fluctuated in a wide range and continued to adjust. On the daily chart, the MA10/7 daily moving average suppresses 2342/2352 and keeps opening downward. The RSI indicator is still adjusted above the 50 value on the central axis, and the price is adjusted on the central axis of the Bollinger Bands. As for the time-sharing chart and the hourly chart technical indicators, the reference value is not great, short-term adjustment and washout, and the small cycle indicators are of little reference value. Today and Friday, gold still has no trending market or swing market, and continues to fluctuate in a wide range accompanied by long and short competition. Assuming that 2330 is used as the central axis, that is the high altitude of 15/20 US dollars above and the low long position of 15/20 US dollars below.

1H resistance is 2337, support below is 2316
4H resistance is 2348, support below is 2305
Daily resistance is 2356, support below is 2296

Asian trading strategy:
BUY:2315-2318
SELL:2340-2343

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Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
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