XLY Consumer Discretionary poised for a break down?

The XLY has been mostly gone no where since May. Break out attempted but didn't go no wheres. We're back at the July 2020 levels.

Could the price action be saying we're headed to a further 20%? That would put is back in April 2020. The red & green lines are clones.

Comment:

EDIT: I mean red and yellow lines.