quantguy

Best Bond Trading Ideas Amid Coronavirus

Long
CBOT:ZN1!   10 Year T-Note Futures
After plummeting a full handle, ZN seems like it is poised to retrace a bit. The collapse has created several vacuum zones and it is reasonable that it retraces slightly. It looks like we are seeing an inverse head and shoulders pattern in ZN, which suggest an upside breakout. It is important to let the right shoulder fully form. Then watch the neckline at 139'13. The Kovach OBV is extremely oversold and the Kovach Chande has swung back, so a short trade may be crowded. We have a green triangle on the KRI at the head of the inverse H&S suggesting this may be the bottom.

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