arabica

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, 4 months ago
KC2!: Correction or sideways?
27 0 2
KC2!, D
Correction or sideways?

Market taking a breather after the recent rally. I would think that the market is taking a break from the rally for now. Corrective levels below are the 7 day MA at 164ish, 20 day MA at 158 and 100 day MA along with the lower line of the upsloping trend channel. Option vol went out on the move, but commercials seems to be selling as physical prices in Brazil are ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short , 6 months ago
KC2!: Things point to 140 for now (2nd month continuation)
30 2 1
KC2!, D Short
Things point to 140 for now (2nd month continuation)

Looks down to the 140 area for a test. However as long as the orange or blue trends hold, the upwards trend is still intact IMHO. short call spreads above 165 in Dec or January might be a good idea. I would buy any puts as downside seems limited for the moment and option volatility might decline during a sell off diminishing returns on long option strategies. ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC1!, D, Short , 7 months ago
KC1!: 130 target area
25 0 3
KC1!, D Short
130 target area

Looking for 130 area as a target of the recent decline in coffee prices. Overall uptrend as indicated in upsloping orange trendline hasn't been broken yet Spreads are weak as well.

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, 10 months ago
KC2!: Note quite yet, KC long
13 0 4
KC2!, D
Note quite yet, KC long

Coffee nearing the orange support line around 122 (2nd month continuation, about 119-120 front month ). Interesting fact about this correction lower from 134 to 122 is that this is the first time in a couple years that we actually have an up-sloping support line (orange line). If the orange support holds this could mark a longer term trend reversal. On the ...

AndreasMunz AndreasMunz KC2!, D, Short , 10 months ago
KC2!: KC RSI and Stochastik crossing down
29 1 2
KC2!, D Short
KC RSI and Stochastik crossing down

Short term targets on the downside: - 9 day MA around 129 - middle BBand at around 125.50 - Fib retracements

TradablePatterns TradablePatterns KC1!, D, Long , 2 years ago
KC1!: Arabica Coffee (KC) Breaks Downtrend Since Mid October
159 0 1
KC1!, D Long
Arabica Coffee (KC) Breaks Downtrend Since Mid October

KC put in its strongest weekly performance in about a month, reinforcing the line in the sand at the 180 horizontal support zone as seen in the attached chart. The 180 level also coincides with the uptrend support line connecting the low earlier in the week with the January 2014 low. Based on the renewed upward momentum these last few days, and the apparent ...

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