fiscalstimulus

jamiegleave jamiegleave DXY, M, Long ,
DXY: /dx LT view
893 0 26
DXY, M Long
/dx LT view

Afternoon traders, Something special happened last week: the Fed funds rate rose to 66bps. Why is this important? Historically, /dx depends on not only the direction of US yields, but also the absolute level. A "high yielder" can be defined as a currency whose central bank offers at least the third highest central bank yield in the G10. By this definition, USD ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Short ,
USDJPY: USDJPY - BOJ MISS; FISCAL STIM PACKAGE & TRADING YEN FROM HERE
726 14 20
USDJPY, D Short
USDJPY - BOJ MISS; FISCAL STIM PACKAGE & TRADING YEN FROM HERE

BOJ - 3trn increase in annual ETF Purchases + $24bn increase in USD funding for banks 1. The BOJ on Friday delivered a shockingly poor package, imo they changed the snallest part of their current QQE programme. 2. What was interesting though was the markets reaction - immediately after the decision $Yen spiked higher then lower to 103 level but from then and ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: LONG USDJPY: ANOTHER BOJ OUTPERFORM CASE - 28TRN GOVT STIMULUS
403 11 11
USDJPY, D Long
LONG USDJPY: ANOTHER BOJ OUTPERFORM CASE - 28TRN GOVT STIMULUS

Another argument for the BOJ outperform case - Post BOJ Buy $Yen @MRKT 111tp: 1. We know BOJ and JPY Govt Abe/ Aso have had many meetings post-brexit and as it follows the JPY Govt have announced today that they will deliver a fiscal stimulus package of 28trn - which was to the very right of the curve (10-30 was talked about). - This in mind, imo it is rational ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D,
USDJPY: USDJPY: BOJ IN FOCUS - G20 KURODA & REUTERS ANALYST EXPECTATIONS
264 2 10
USDJPY, D
USDJPY: BOJ IN FOCUS - G20 KURODA & REUTERS ANALYST EXPECTATIONS

28/29th June BOJ Meeting Expectations by 27 analysts polled by Reuters: 1. 23/27 (85%) expect easing from the BOJ. - The Median Analyst expect a 10bps cut to the headline interest rate to -0.2% and a Yen10TRN Extenstion to the BOJ's monetary base target to Yen90TRN a month (JGB and ETF Purchases). - One analyst expects easing in September, two in October and ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: USDJPY: LONG UPDATE - RENEWED JPY FISCAL STIMULUS SPECULATION?
956 7 23
USDJPY, D Long
USDJPY: LONG UPDATE - RENEWED JPY FISCAL STIMULUS SPECULATION?

I posted earlier with my 107 USDJPY breakout trade (see attached post) - one of the reasons I said to long USDJPY on the 107 break-out was due to JPY Govt stimulus speculation. In the last few hours we have seen fresh speculation of the JPY stimulus, with JPY20trn now being discussed/ proposed to be on the table - this renewed rhetoric is nothing but positive for ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Long ,
EURUSD: LONG USD VS JPY, EUR, GBP: HAWISK FED BULLARD - FED FUNDS RALLY
584 8 23
EURUSD, D Long
LONG USD VS JPY, EUR, GBP: HAWISK FED BULLARD - FED FUNDS RALLY

Bullard is the lone Fed official forecasting just one additional rate increase, and expects modest growth over the next two and a half years. But he reiterated Tuesday he's not expecting the economy to head south. However, did go out of his way to mention a relatively dovish point "We Have Some Ammunition if We Need it During Next Recession". Nonetheless he ...

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long ,
USDJPY: BUY USDJPY @104 & SELL GBPUSD @1.33: RISK-ON, POLITICS, BOJ, BOE
535 0 18
USDJPY, D Long
BUY USDJPY @104 & SELL GBPUSD @1.33: RISK-ON, POLITICS, BOJ, BOE

The Federal Reserve's regulatory point man said work to address the lessons of the 2008 financial crisis won't be complete without better regulation of short-term funding both inside and outside the banking system. St Louis Fed President Jim Bullard may be the Fed's new super dove, but he's no pessimist, he says. Bullard is the lone Fed official forecasting just ...

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