In this screencast I look at the S&P500 on the 4H time frame only. I show how I estimate the probable direction (this does not mean prediction). I give some information on why the markets are reacting to a low grade coronavirus called 2019-nCOV (same family as MERS and SARS). Disclaimer: This is not trading advice. If you make decisions based on this...
This is a very short presentation on how previous virus attacks have affected Wall Street (daily time frame). I go back to 2013, plotting what was seen. This is relevant in relation to the recent Wuhan coronavirus (WCV). Mainstream media have referred to WCV as a "deadly virus". This is frankly nonsense based on current data. The case fatality ratio (CFR) is...
Moving Averages on 1d start to sink, watchout for a possible dump !!
Triangles are overlapping five wave affairs that subdivide 3-3-3-3-3. They appear to reflect a balance of forces, causing a sideways movement that is usually associated with decreasing volume and volatility. However, it is quite common, particularly in contracting triangles, for wave b to exceed the start of wave a in what may be termed a running triangle
Hello traders! Today we will talk about emerging markets(EEM) and EURUSD. As you can see in the first chart, there's a positive correlation between emerging markets and EURUSD. Of course, there are no tick by tick correlations, but the current wave structure it's telling us that we may see a bigger recovery in the upcoming days/weeks. Emerging markets can be...
Hello traders! After that deeper corrective decline called double zig-zag W-X-Y pattern on Bitcoin , it's time to take a look at potential support levels. We decided to take a look at Bitcoin dominance ( BTC .D) against the ALT dominance (OTHERS.D), where we clearly see a corrective decline in wave 4 that can find support soon, ideally around previous wave »iv«,...
Im just posting this for personal reference. Sometimes I have doubts when I look at wicks and I want to document the cases where things actually play out as I expect them to. I figured I would share with you all so you can correct me if I am wrong or add something you think I may have unintentionally left out. I am learning more each and every day. Soon I will be...
Notice the downward trend in the US10Y since the 80's, while government, corporate and consumer debt has exploded to all time highs. The achilles heel of massive debt levels are high interest rates, which end up causing slowed growth and economic contraction. With ever higher levels of debt, the level of interest required to put the economy in pain falls over time...
Market moves can generally be categorized as either an IMPULSE move or a CORRECTIVE move. A fast and strong move is described as an IMPULSE move. A slow and weak move is described as a CORRECTIVE move. Practical Exercise 1) Pick any currency pair, any timeframe, and identify the IMPULSE and CORRECTIVE moves on the chart. 2) Draw a line on the IMPULSE...
In the screencast, I give a little story first about someone (not from Tradingview) who enquired about buying into NVDA. My simple "No" wasn't received with much enthusiasm. What happened in ULTA is a lesson for people interested in NVDA.
Amazon has just crossed $1 Trillion in market value. This is without doubt a parabolic expansion. History has shown us that parabolic charts like this suffer a significant correction. Do not expect me to say when - as I have no crystal ball. Tech stocks have been propping up Wall Streets expansion. But there is a problem. The stock markets in the US and...
Understanding the definitions. Here they are, well this is my own definition, but look into any book it will be quite similar. I will post examples to show why that makes sense. First, this applies to anything that has enough participants, and enough market cap. I do not have an exact number, but if something is not public or next to impossible to trade kind of...
The US-Dollar got hammered on most pairs in the last day or two. Day traders may have suffered or gained. The US-Dollar index shows what happened. On the Daily time frame US-Dollar is still pretty bullish, so stay tuned on lower time frames.
Sorry for the bad voice.
Hi all, I would like you all to have a basic understanding of how waves (Elliot Waves essentially) feel like. Impulse waves (the 1, 3 and 5 you hear of quite often) are generally easier to "feel". See the chart for example. The fall from 11.7k to 8.3k was pretty easy to detect as a downtrend. There is little scope of confusion during these waves. Corrective...
Hey guys, just wanted to post this quick educational analysis of what a bear flag looks like and how to calculate the measured move. Pretty straightforward from the chart, but if you have any questions feel free to comment. Also, this bear flag ties in with my other idea that is linked below in case you want to see how it plays along with the current situation....