The picture of the 2019-nCOV is rapidly evolving. Globally there have been >14,000 cases and >305 deaths. The trajectory of spread of this virus has exceeded SARS (2003). In under 20 days there are 14,544 cases. There were less than 20 cases in the same period for SARS. SARS plateaued off at 8,500 cases after 100 days then fell off. What we're seeing in hard...
This is a very short presentation on how previous virus attacks have affected Wall Street (daily time frame). I go back to 2013, plotting what was seen. This is relevant in relation to the recent Wuhan coronavirus (WCV). Mainstream media have referred to WCV as a "deadly virus". This is frankly nonsense based on current data. The case fatality ratio (CFR) is...
Hello, I have to look at some details on a FX strategy and it is alot of mental effort, therefore here I am looking at high short interest on stocks that I do not even trade :) Let's look together at the most shorted stocks in the USA. What I think happens in Wall Street is every one copies every one. If a fund misses out on something that every one else has...
NYSE:BURL It is never a question of being right or wrong, but rather of being too early and being thrown out of the market before the asset's actual direction. What we need is an event that allows us to systematically decide to enter Long or Short, in our case the patterns of technical analysis. We are trend-followers and we gain from price movement, so we could...
Christmas is over, Kwanzaa is just beginning, Hanukkah is just past its midpoint, and retailers are beginning to take stock of their performance during the holiday season. So far, one of the big takeaways this year is that consumers rushed to e-commerce sites to lock down early and last-minute gifts. Between Nov. 1 and Christmas Eve, U.S. retail sales climbed...
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Hello friends, first of all, you can support this idea and follow simple questions in your trading. This post will help you find your ways in trading. Before any trade, ask simple questions and make sure you have answers. Can you afford to lose some amount money? — Accept the risk. Don't fool yourself. Do you have a strategy for trade? — Plan where you will...
Why most people misses on the big gains? Why on hindsight it seems easy to be making money, but actually it is not? Because the reality is that it is NOT THAT EASY to make money or big gains. The first barrier is psychology and mental barrier. It is much easier to give data and charts to a bots or A.l. and let them decide, as for them, there is nothing...
What people want me to do is tell them when the bubble is gonna pop! Well, well - I can see the weather outside my home is setting up pretty badly, but I can't tell when a downpour of rain is gonna come! I'm as I'm so bad at weather forecasting - how on earth could I possibly forecast market crashes? All I know is that when I see bad weather I'd better wear a...
Nothing is never the same. 2017 was once and done deal. We will not see 2017 euphoria anytime soon in Bitcoin and Crypto. This is because everything requires momentum and there is no momentum in the whole crypto space. Back in 2017, after stocks breakout, Bitcoin and Crypto also breakout to new all time high. And then around May 2017 is when Bitcoin went...
I made a poll asking traders this simple question: "Let’s imagine - you have 10 000USD capital for trading or investing. How will you manage this sum?" with the options like: - I will trade in Forex - I will trade/invest in Stocks - I will trade/invest in Crypto - I will split my capital among different markets! I’m very glad that 33% of traders picked the...
I've looked into the DJI and the DAX because they are connected. I also considered events affecting the Hong Kong index. In the text below, I consider China's 'nuclear option'. Overall I'd say the probability is greater for the south on these indices (from this point in time). But caution - because there is a residual probability for the north and I can't know...
New indicator everyone, info on the screenshot Have a great week, happy profiting. Indcator 1 Indicator 2
Crisis or crash will happen from time to time. However, the funny thing is, human psychology is so fixated in "Avoiding the Pain" versus "Taking the Opportunities" when it is presented. Why people like Warren Buffett are the richest people in the world? Despite not using any form of technical analysis? Because fundamentals matters and capital flow matters. Yes,...
Have you ever asked yourself: "Why some traders fail while others make money? " In this post, I would like to share with you my ideas, which will explain the difference between successful traders and those who lose money all the time and provide the answer to this question. There is a well-known fact that in the financial markets, about 90% of traders fail,...
Quick Video explanation of our B.I.T.S (Breakout Intelligent Trading Signals) Indicator for daytrading stocks. Example used was AAPL on the 15 minute timeframe from 25 November 2019.
Anything can happen :) Usually ponzi schemes (this is how I call hype greater fool bubbles) fall in 2 way: 1- Go up slowly fall fast (Enron I guess) ===> Retail and bad funds either want to secure the gains they waited so long for, or the weak uptrend got them in partial disbelief so they believe it can go very low and want to get out asap. They often get...
Hello traders! Today we will talk about the bond and stock market and their correlations. As you can see, US and German Bonds are moving more or less together and the same thing is with US and German stocks. Of course, there are no perfect correlations, but overall looking they are in positive correlation. At the same time bonds and stocks are also more or less...