The great benefit from today's close is the ability to zoom out and see the bigger picture using 6M timeframes. When you zoom out; it allows you to then make meaningful 2023 plans based upon analyzing some of the most important charts. DXY-The above chart is telling me that the dollar is actually quite weak...the breakout in 2015 was not meaningful as it has...
In this video I give you I try to give you a wrap up of not only 2022 but what that price of recent years means for Cryptos. Please check out the extended video which just goes back and speaks a little more to the US Dollar chart in relation to Crypto. This year has been quite an eye opener in terms of risk assets and also people falling for BS and BS getting...
$TNX #yield pumping, above both avg's 2Yr not as much Does this mean the street has finally caved in and believe that longer recession is a sure thing? #economy
In this video I explain my long-term view on 10 Year Bond Yields also known as Interest Rates. If there is one view of mine that has stood the test of time it is my view of this chart. My timing couldn't be better if what I talk about in this video comes to pass. It appears that we have just completed what appears to be the first wave of the upcoming 5-Wave...
The market has come to the conclusion that the level of 1800 to 1810 is a very strong and important resistance. Because after reaching this range several times, it has faced selling pressure. 1. It has probably completed wave B and will move towards wave C (1727 to 1734). 2. It has reached the corner of the drawn triangle and since it failed to register a...
11 solid reasons that you can rely on to start the price drop: 1. Strong negative divergence in RSI and MACD 2. The formation of Hanging Man candlestick (a bearish candlestick that initiates a downward trend) 3. The possibility of forming a double top 4. Strong resistance 1800 to 1810 5. Dealing with the trend line (probable channel) daily 6. The...
In daily time, we have observed negative divergence. Also, a Double top has been formed in RSI. The resistance of 1800 is a very strong range that will prevent further growth. It can be said that big banks have entered sales transactions again.
The range of 1780 to 1786 is a heavy daily resistance. It is expected that a Double top will be formed in this area. If a Double top is formed, heavy rainfall will occur until 1630 . It is also necessary for the price to pull back to the broken 8-month channel . The sales range is 1780 to 1785 . The main target is 1630
A simple reversal trade setup on the Nasdaq. The tech index confirmed a double bottom pattern breakout on November 11th, the day after an epic rally which is among the best days of 2022. The breakout has not seen any momentum as different Fed heads have come out saying different things, and some geopolitical tensions. The markets are still determining if the Fed...
Using a 10yr -3m Inverted Yields VS. Stock market bottom recession. June 2025 is when the market will start to improve if history repeats itself.
The last two times of market recessions, Dotcom and the Great Recession both times the stock market did not hit bottom until 3yrs after the inversion happened. Meaning we are only 129 days into this one. I would take advantage of this current rally and not get overly long on positions, but sell out of positions into strength. The FED has made it clear there will...
Fractal repeat will be ominous to the asset classes, will it repeat? Caveat Emptor
@ Dec meeting Dec 14 Cur Rate 3.75 4 3.75 4 3.75 4 4.25 4.5 Fed Hikes 0.25 0.25 0.5 0.5 0.75 0.75 0.25 0.25 Future Rate 4 4.25 4.25 4.5 4.5 4.75 4.5 4.75 4.125 4.375 4.625 4.625
The US 10-year Treasury yield left behind a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart this Friday. This is as the bond tested a rising range of support from August. A turn higher from here could open the door to revisiting the October high of 4.33. Otherwise, breaking lower exposes the 50-day Simple Moving Average, which could reinstate the...
Months ago, when 10 year bond futures were still 175, this weekly head and shoulders pattern jumped out at me. It looked so big and so bad I almost didn't want to believe it could play out. Now, as we approach 135, this massive, fully triggered pattern may be the best indication of where bonds are headed: 125. Sure, they could bounce a few times as they have...
Quick Analysis on 10 Year Treasury Yield on a 1M Linear Chart. 1) The US 10 Year Treasury Yield has been respecting a falling channel for multiple decades going back to the 1980s. 2) It is currently headed to the top trendline of the channel with a possibility to break in the coming months. 3) The measured move of the falling channel would bring it back to...
The chart posted is the 10yr yield from the record peak 15.64 in 1981 to the low 41 years of rates in freefall . if you though the house crash in 2008 /2009 was BIG this is going to be HUGE by spring NO WAY OUT everyone gets hurt for most time . WARNING !
$NQ - C'mon! One of my favourite indices, enjoy my outlook...! Key support...Hard or soft landing?! Best, TJ