Sentiment has reached 95% bullish. Sentimenttiming.com has had the February 5th-9th time period as a otential turn lower. The low date will be withheld for members only--but shorting this rally using sds is a good trade set up. Layer in 1 block here and if sds heads to support 2-layer in 2nd 1/2-is my trading plan. Expecting a push back up to the December...
Ladies and gentlemen, it's about time i come clean here and share with you my secrets of success in trading the stock market. It is no secret that many expert traders make outrageous claims about the market not being perfect and that it can't be predicted, and that it will always be 50/50 percent chance of success and failure. Well rest assured that their claims...
Charts are telling us to be very cautious, as soon as we get the 1st dip in the RED line below zero mark, we shall expect a convincing bounce only to find more panic ahead. ONLY time will tell when we get that scare drop.... Considering where we are today, probability of making significant NEW HIGH is very LOW, however a marginal NEW HIGH cannot be rules out....
What I am not showing here is, that the Cyclicals are losing steam, Sensitive Market is in neutral trend, Defensive has been the buyers paradise since OCT 2014. Why I think that this can be called as a Biotech Bubble is because, It has done the same exact thing Financials did in 2007. ie., Moved tooo quick tooo far. Yes Bio Tech (Healthcare) sector is a...
It looks like the rally in bonds is finally done because it had 3 legs up and is forming a potential M pattern. The obvious target is back down into liquidity at the 200 sma. What this means for the market is that it should have a strong rally to finish off January in a positive note and a positive tone for the rest of the year. This final move in bonds...
The divergence between RSI and MACD makes this trade dangerous, so aim low.
Intermarket Study for 2014 Utilities - XLU - and Health Care - XLV - Outperformed in 2014, and these two sectors saw the biggest % gains later in the year. Health Care and Utilities are considered economically insensitive sectors, and tend to outperform when the market is at risk of a pullback or a sideways markets. Historically, economically-sensitive sectors...
The over all market remains strong. The NFP number is out on Friday and could pop us into the 2100 area. For now the path of least resistance is up. Be smart with your risk.
In this post I'd like to share some of the best ways I know of to stay on the right side of the long-term trend. I will stick to technical indicators on price action and the S&P 500, or this discussion could go on way too long. I employ the monthly chart for long-term timing; its perspective is broad enough to show the big picture yet nimble enough to capture the...
I think a test of the 2000 level in china is going to happen quite soon. It seems as if the only buying pressure coming off of the last selloff was from short covering, which is not bullish. Natural buying pressure seems low, but this may change at lower prices. Support at 2150 is strong, but may break soon; the next significant support level is around 2000 yuan....
With its IPO in May 2012 it is difficult to know what price action it might have formed. However, based on the price action since low in September 2012, it is fairly clear that we have ABC retracement rally which is likely to complete soon and in 80-82 price zone which could it self be a larger Wave (B) suggesting that we could have major Wave (C) to commence...
DAX is now for second day under the very important 8900 support zone area. If DAX in the next day not return to 8900 zone , we can confirm the bearish outlook. Summarized : bear: DAX break his long trendline 2011 DAX starting making lower lows The very strong 8900 supportzone turning in heavy resistance zone. negative for bear : oversold RSI If we have a false...
This is a simple MACD analysis, to try an forecast a topping pattern before a crash, The safest and high probability trade for a short occurs when the MACD has a negative divergence highlighted in red circle and yellow divergence line. Since it has broken the uptrend support and it is coming back to test it close to the 0.236 fib retracement level. that would be...
To me this looks like BTC was leading the recent breakout; Gold and Silver following roughly a day later. Have to check if this happened in the past, but this could make BTC a 'market maker' of some sort, or at least an indicator - since arguably BTC traders might be more flexible and quicker to adapt.
Many feel the market has been heavily suppressed over the past few months, and whilst I would agree, I think it is time for the bull to regain power. If only for a short while. We have many bullish divergences building on the higher time frames now. MACD divergences on the 3-day and 1-day, along with clear RSI divergences too. This would give us a lovely pop in...
All in the chart, self explanatory :) Strategy for the next few days: Sell the rally, buy the dip.
I believe, fundamentally, that blackberry is undervalued at its current share price and this is why. Initially that had a hard time keeping up with the competition, and lets face it the Z10 and the Playbook were both major flops. But a business can, and should use its failures to its advantage, and use it to tweak their business model which is what BB seems to be...