The thesis I will present today will go over the idea that Bitcoin will repeat its first cycle over a longer length of time. There are a lot of theories on where Bitcoin is going next, and it's been interesting seeing so many different perspectives. Every 4 years, Bitcoin follows through with its cycle, and we are now in the 4th cycle. So, what if it repeats the...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Cyclical Megaphone pattern and the current consolidation comes as a natural consequence of the Resistance pressure in close proximity. Technically, BTC has formed almost the exact same pattern during the previous 2 Cycles. The Megaphone starts when BTC breaks and re-tests the orange Mayer...
After breaking above the symmetrical triangle on Monday, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD dipped once more, just to reverse again strongly yesterday above the critical 70k, leaving a nice Piercing Pattern on our daily chart. 71-71.5k still holds the key for further growth and when (or if) bulls clear that zone the road is clear for new ATH with a focus on 80k figure.
Quick comparison of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle to the one in 2014 - 2017, which is the one that has been most tightly correlated to and as you can see by the charts below, we have spotted since January 2023, right at the market bottom: The current consolidation around the previous All Time High (ATH) region is a clear buy signal, in fact based on...
✅Bitcoin broke the upper line of the classic Symmetrical Triangle Pattern a few hours ago. 🌊Regarding Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed wave 4 with a Double Three Correction(WXY) in a symmetrical triangle. 🌊Currently, Bitcoin is completing microwave wave 3 of main wave 5 , which can complete around an All-Time High($73,777) ( or...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a (dashed) Triangle pattern since the March 14 High, supported twice by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The price is testing today the top of that pattern and going back to November 2022 at the bottom of the Bear Cycle when the Fibonacci Channel Up begun, we can see that a similar pattern emerged two more times. The first...
Since reaching the recent all-time high (ATH) near 74k in mid-March, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has corrected to the 61k zone support and has begun consolidating thereafter. Despite significant volatility over the past three weeks, the overall outlook remains predominantly bullish, offering reassurance to medium to long-term holders. Furthermore, upon examining the daily...
This is a really simple Bitcoin study on which I calculate the remaining days of the current Bull Cycle we are in based on the Top, Bottom and Halving of each Cycle. These parameters are effectively used to distinguish the Bull from the Bear Cycles. Tops are obviously where the Bull phase ends and Bear starts, while the Bottoms are where the Bear phase ends and...
Back in February 2020 we published one of our most popular ideas, the 'Golden 51%-49% Ratio': And in December 2022 exactly on the last Bear Cycle's bottom, we updated it issuing a mega buy signal for long-term traders and investors: As you can see, this couldn't have been more accurate and today, as we are only 2 weeks before Bitcoin's 4th historic...
🏃♂️ Bitcoin is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($69,000-$67,800) 🔴. 🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 4 . 📈The Classic Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern is also visible in the chart. 🔔I expect Bitcoin to fall to at least near the Support line after breaking the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge...
Yesterday we discussed from a 4H perspective (see chart below) why it would be technically possible and above all healthy for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to pull-back to the 1D MA50 and then rebound: Today we approach this from the 1W time-frame where the results are virtually the same. As you can see, Bitcoin has pulled-back towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke and closed below its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 2 months (since February 05). Last time such a pull-back off a Higher High took place was on January 12 (orange circle), which confirmed the extension of a short-term correction that found support on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded. That was a -21.41% decline...
✅As I shared with you in previous posts, Bitcoin attacked the 🟢 Support zone($69,000-$67,800) 🟢 two times. 🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving in the 🟢 Support zone($69,000-$67,800) 🟢 and near the Support line . 🔔Based on Market Cap USDT Dominance% (USDT.D%) conditions, I expect Bitcoin to rise to $70,200 at most and then attack the Support line . The Rising Wedge...
🏃♂️Bitcoin is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($73,700-$71,800) 🔴. Above the 🔴 Resistance zone($73,700-$71,800) 🔴is also an important 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($82,800-$73,700) 🟡. 📈From the point of view of Classic Technical Analysis , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in breaking the lower line of the Rising Wedge Pattern , and there is also the...
Yes it is not April Fool's, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed a record 7 straight months of gains for the first time in history. Since it's inception, there hasn't been an exchange where BTC made more than 6 bullish monthly (1M) candles in a row. What started in September 2023 as merely a hold and bottom formation on the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), eventually evolved...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently repeating on its 4H time-frame a fractal of S&P500 (SPX) on its 1W time-frame. As BTC is pulling back towards the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and a Bullish Cross is about to be formed, the symmetric development on the S&P500 fractal indicates that this Bullish Cross should be treated as a Buy Signal. On S&P500 it started the aggressive...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to see enormous grow, despite the recent 2-week consolidation (blue circle) after breaking the previous All Time High (ATH). BTC is no stranger to such a consolidation as it also took it 3 weeks trading sideways when it hit the ATH during the previous Cycle in November 2020. What followed after that was an aggressive rally marginally...
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to enter the most aggressive part of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. That is the final bullish sequence at the end of which leads to the All Time High (ATH) and new peak of the Cycle. What makes it the most aggressive part is its Higher Highs angle, which historically has been the greater on each and every Cycle. More specifically,...