The US10Y has been trading within a Channel Up until it marginally broke its Higher Highs trend-line yesterday. This happens to be exactly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and today we we seeing a rejection. Technically the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been supporting for months, with the most recent bounce provided on the September 15th low. We are...
Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and other financial firms are advancing along with bond yields. The rate on the 10 year Treasury note is up 1.48%. If you did not know, those higher rates are pulling down shares of tech companies that benefit from lower borrowing costs. All the FAAMG stocks had experienced a red day due to this. When trading...
If rates do not get blocked by that weekly 200 ema and reject from the 1.64 lvl then I would say we are heading into some serious pain for risk assets with a C wave target of 2.14 basis points. IDK guys but im thinking 1.64 holds and SP500 completes my C wave around 4250. Then back up to 5,000 EOY
The federal reserve just announced a potential taper of the asset purchase and start reducing the growth of their balance sheet going into 2022. This taper could potentially end in mid 2022 and Jerome Powell announced they would consider raising rates depending on the economic situation then. This clearly reflects that inflation is running wild in the United...
10year bond yeilds have struggled alot to reach 1.3% but clearly failed in doing so last 3 weekly candles are pushing the price up, but last day the price clearly failed and broke the 1.30 support so we are bearish on 10yr yeild.
With the slower/stalled reopening, money isn’t spreading out across industries and the globe as quickly as the FED planned last year. This will cause high inflation readings for longer, bond yields to rise and TLT to fall. Fear of the inflation report on the 11th seems to be playing out.
The US10Y is about to hit the 1D MA200 again (orange trend-line) where last time failed to convincingly close a candle above it and eventually got rejected. That also happened to be on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a symmetrical level as it previously was a Support (July 08) turned into Resistance. There is also a potential 1D Death Cross (when...
we probably have a small push here off the bullish hammer reversal then a dip to 1.08% which will cause another drop to stock markets but this level should prove as strong support & then the 10 yr will move higher IMO
The US10Y has confirmed the shift from bullish to long-term bearish as last week it broke below the Higher Lows Zone that has been holding since the August 07, 2020 bottom. The bounce however on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line on the left chart) is something to keep an eye on, but for the moment that is viewed as a Lower Lows rebound within a Channel Down (right...
Im expecting bond yields to dip again. exactly on track as my observations yesterday. this should cause Gold to rally a little bit.
A perfect Channel Down has been formed for the US10Y on the 1D time-frame. The 1D MA50 and 1D MA100 have already been broken. The 1D MA150 (yellow trend-line) is exactly within the Higher Lows Zone from the very bottom of August 2020. Will the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) get tested right on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level? ** Please support this idea...
Bond yields should be dipping temporarily today after FOMC meeting and FED rate decisions. This is also evident on teh technical charts. Yield price has to do a retest of the recent low (or nearby) before heading off continuing the reversal. Lets see if it works out.
The Dow Jones (IA) / Gold Ratio and the U.S. 30-year Treasury Bonds / Russell2000 Index Ratio are coinciding at key levels. Both ratios are at historic turning points, foreshadowing their respective Phase Transitions! (and as such, indicating highly volatile, multi-standard deviation moves in the global equity indexes.) The title chart is an extended (120 years)...
A lot of talk is being made in 2021 about the bond yields and personally I have been following the US10Y very closely due to its effect on Gold and stocks. At the moment I have singled out the most important trend-line that should weigh heavily on the 10Y in the following weeks/ months. As you see it is the 2 month Higher Lows trend-line that started after the...
I was stopped out on the last pattern i posted on this pair and now entered on another pattern. An alternate Bat pattern. In the white ellipses we have where the HSI Arrow printed in an area of extreme reading then PA came down out of reaction and both oscillators made it at least the 50 line respectively, and then did the HSI "Check back" that Scott Carney uses...
US 10 yr yields and BTC. Seems when there is indication that yields are going to be rising, BTC moves up, while when yields drop BTC remains relatively flat. This makes total sense, but wanted to visualize it for myself. I wouldn't use this for anything except documentation.
10 year bond yields are struggling at the Yearly R1 pivot point.
If you think the bond threat is over; it's not. It's you think the chopping is done; it ain't. It's puzzling to me that the bond market hears another 2 trillion is going out the door and it's complacent with that. I guess because it's all "paid for" by 2 trillion in taxes over 15 years (it won't be). Meanwhile, the market hears that corporate taxes are going up...