Fundamentals AUD The slowdown of the Chinese economy drags down Australia which heavily exports to China, thus bearish sentiments in the AUD. Today economic data on China is mixed: even though there were some improvements in Manufacturing PMI, the markets couldn't hold gains in the next few hours. Such minor improvements are just a drop in the sea of current...
Chinese real-estate has collapsed China refuses to update new unemployment metrics (like they've ever told the truth) China BOC keeps printing to backstop this (parabolic m3/m2) China forcing peoples money trapped in this death spiral Japan Real estate is also dead Japan stocks / Gasoline is going parabolic due to the start of hyperinflation not a...
They call copper "Doctor Copper" because it's said to forecast the overall world economic conditions on account of being tightly wed to manufacturing. Well, what people are really yammering about with that over the last 20 years is whether or not the Chinese Communist Party is healthy, and the world by proxy being healthy because it tied itself to the most...
Everybody is so depressed about China that it is time to look for the bottom... All big players have sold China, the state is starting to take some economic measures
The Australian dollar is in positive territory on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6437, up 0.12% on the day. China's economic slowdown is bad news for the Australian economy, which counts China as its biggest export market. China's imports have been falling and as a result, commodity prices have dropped, hurting Australia's exports of...
The Shanghai Stock Market is like a financial puzzle, and right now, it's showing us some interesting moves. First, the rise in the 10-year yield from 3-year lows suggests that there might be changing expectations about economic growth, inflation, or monetary policy. This could be due to a variety of factors such as improved economic prospects, inflation...
CHN50 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 12555 (stop at 12435) Price action looks to be forming a bottom. Previous resistance at 12530 now becomes support. 12531 has been pivotal. Support is located at 12530 and should stem dips to this area. Buying posted in Asia. Our profit targets will be 12855 and 12935 Resistance: 12700 / 12850 / 13000 Support: 12600...
Newcastle Thermal Coal Futures breaking out of short-term downtrend + Neutral-Bullish Accumulation around 78.6% Fib Retracement. Still within larger downtrend after steep sell-off through later half of 2022 into 2023. (Coal) embers likely re-igniting due to recent China stimulus measures & other macro-economic influences, TBC. Highlighted preliminary Trading...
Iron Ore Futures coiling like a steel roll in a series of Lower Highs & Higher Lows since October 2022. Break above 116.60 = Bullish momentum towards 134.85 (38.2% Fib Retracement) Break below 99.40 = Bearish momentum towards 77.60 (78.6% Fib Extension) Seasonality typically favours the Bulls running strong into end of year - we'll see if it still rings true...
China's Economy is dangerously on the ropes...things have gotten so bad, CCP had to make an announcement on a Sunday night (AEST/UC+10) that they're going to intervene in their domestic market with a raft of "measures" in hopes of boosting market confidence: - Halve stamp duty on stock trading - Tighten pace of IPO listings - Cut margin financing requirements -...
I heard something rather enlightening on Twitter recently, and it was someone who quoted some sort of analyst as pointing out "Tesla is its own market." I think that's really correct, and really apt, especially in light of a recent analysis of the new JPM collar that dropped on Friday, where I anticipate a very violent and very major drop in the markets until...
The New Zealand dollar has posted strong gains on Tuesday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5959, up 0.55%. On the data calendar, New Zealand retail sales are expected to decline by 2.6% q/q in the second quarter, compared to -1.4% in Q1. The New Zealand dollar has gone on a dreadful slide since mid-July, falling as much as 500 basis points during...
China news are more often.. I won't mind if the prices continues to go down, because of the low risk of my position at the moment. Confluences: -false brake-downs -61.8 retracement -buy the rumor sell the news -MAs work
BABA is on a good recovery streak with, steady gain and consolidation, following a solid support line since October 22'. China's economy and development are almost recovered from the horrible decline during the multiple lockdowns and manufacturing shutdowns. The gain/consolidation we are witnessing in the last several months is having an amplitude of 10-15$ which...
30Y Micro Yield ( CBOT_MINI:30Y1! ), Micro Nasdaq ( CME_MINI:MNQ1! ), Chinese Yuan ( CME:CNH1! ), Live Cattle ( CME:LE1! ) On January 2nd, I published an idea titled “Year of the Rabbit: ‘Short-tailed’ Trading”. My outlook for the new year was: “In the new year, uncertainties will remain the key price drivers of global stock markets: central bank policy,...
The Japanese yen has posted significant losses on Monday. USD/JPY is trading at 146.23 in the North American session, up 0.57% on the day. The US dollar has looked sharp and is within a whisker of pushing the yen below the 146 line, as was the case last week when the strong US dollar pushed the ailing yen to a nine-month low. The Japanese economy was once...
Introduction: In recent weeks, the global oil market has experienced significant turbulence, with oil prices plummeting due to weaker-than-expected economic data from China and mounting rumors surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions. As traders, it is crucial to exercise caution and carefully evaluate the potential risks associated with oil...
China winding down the ROCK (selling it) to cover inflation defaults in the property industry at 1500s China would be able to honor the series of Loand Credit Agreements due this quarter a 1x yield should be rewarding bck to $3k -- a good short opportunity.. yet just keep a tigt stop as Bank of China can easily hunt your capital at designated brokers